Token Launches · resolved market
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ff63e0d0843792316a7b6191d502e81b6b526d9a4b0d875598dad93c827c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,026,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,050,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,026,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 3c | 75,665$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.74 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 1c | 43,814$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…72bebacked No | 15c | 25,448$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 7c | 15,916$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.73 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…96efbacked No | 10c | 14,125$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…7b21backed No | 9c | 13,638$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed No | 13c | 13,394$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.88 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed No | 23c | 13,212$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 13c | 13,193$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 13c | 13,096$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.52 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…9e26backed No | 8c | 12,387$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.13 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 14c | 12,047$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.39 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 6c | 11,480$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.44 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1481…33e8backed No | 6c | 11,442$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed No | 7c | 11,390$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.37 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…3985backed No | 17c | 10,810$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 10c | 9,056$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 19c | 9,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.68 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 7c | 8,795$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.62 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed No | 17c | 7,775$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked No | 9c | 7,751$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…0e5bbacked No | 7c | 7,172$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 6c | 7,030$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 9c | 7,000$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.13 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 6,953$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.65 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed No | 20c | 6,005$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.05 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf854…c850backed No | 6c | 5,862$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed No | 18c | 5,673$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 5,286$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.47 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 16c | 5,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…158bbacked No | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…33b8backed No | 15c | 4,940$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.07 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a2…35aebacked No | 14c | 4,800$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked No | 18c | 4,725$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.3 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…31e5backed No | 16c | 4,205$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 15c | 4,095$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…620dbacked No | 7c | 4,018$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 8c | 4,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 79c | 3,932$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.87 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 10c | 3,924$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.11 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed No | 13c | 3,818$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 17c | 3,777$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa670…f243backed No | 14c | 3,727$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed No | 14c | 3,700$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 27c | 3,605$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.23 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 10c | 3,459$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.26 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 29c | 3,452$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 12c | 3,418$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.21 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…b8f1backed Yes | 76c | 3,230$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked No | 14c | 3,152$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.75 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…1ef4backed No | 8c | 3,136$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…173ebacked No | 13c | 3,116$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 12c | 3,097$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.86 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 13c | 3,053$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.02 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 21c | 3,014$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.34 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…7255backed No | 12c | 3,006$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…a4dabacked No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 5c | 2,800$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 14c | 2,743$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.49 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 2,659$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 11c | 2,601$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.1 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 8c | 2,572$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…270ebacked No | 7c | 2,571$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed No | 12c | 2,561$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.24 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed No | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…f8b5backed No | 10c | 2,391$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 11c | 2,265$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 7c | 2,228$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…7875backed No | 17c | 2,200$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed No | 10c | 2,157$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48b…7dbdbacked No | 14c | 2,089$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 14c | 2,032$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.66 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 11c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 12c | 1,945$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 10c | 1,945$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 20c | 1,945$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 10c | 1,929$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked No | 15c | 1,920$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 15c | 1,790$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 12c | 1,760$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 21c | 1,750$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…36bbbacked No | 27c | 1,666$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 73c | 1,644$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…10a8backed No | 15c | 1,621$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…3681backed No | 16c | 1,544$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…8d9cbacked No | 4c | 1,533$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…2a23backed No | 17c | 1,520$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 2c | 1,516$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…5819backed No | 14c | 1,500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 1,500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a68dbacked No | 13c | 1,500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x301d…c4f3backed No | 7c | 1,449$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed No | 14c | 1,412$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…b3d6backed No | 9c | 1,366$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
- Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.