Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd9c3a68d36e803556321407f5eb5b260d9157245654f58e93b7bdd62d28aa1

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $128,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $128,534

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,030 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddf2…19a3backed Yes	1c	8,432$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	26cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac13…b93ebacked Yes	14c	6,924$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x839c…dcc6backed Yes	2c	4,232$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a0…11f9backed Yes	10c	4,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7170…8d82backed Yes	1c	2,621$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bc…9b04backed Yes	4c	2,472$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40a0…802dbacked Yes	3c	2,323$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.7	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	2,034$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.9	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	5c	1,929$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.97	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	5c	1,797$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.15	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-7.7wins	-0.13per pick	21cpaid	-82%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes	5c	1,772$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes	3c	1,700$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	-9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaa…dc7dbacked Yes	3c	1,695$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes	4c	1,585$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.72	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	22cpaid	+164.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4bd…bfc8backed Yes	6c	1,350$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.39	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7146…7255backed Yes	7c	1,345$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	3c	1,328$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.62	124	3.2%4 W · 120 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes	3c	1,311$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.85	111	24.3%27 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+153.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,300$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	4c	1,150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.45	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	1,090$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	4c	1,053$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	123	4.1%5 W · 118 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,023$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde90…76b1backed Yes	5c	1,016$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes	3c	1,011$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.25	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	1,003$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+11.4wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Yes	3c	975.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2c…898abacked Yes	2c	900$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ac…d864backed Yes	11c	885.31$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988e…5558backed Yes	6c	838.26$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.11	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f9…b6f4backed Yes	7c	777$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf05…2a23backed Yes	9c	666.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	+10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	3c	609.74$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fc…e11fbacked Yes	4c	600$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked Yes	9c	500.28$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.51	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e4…dc76backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02e…78c0backed Yes	9c	459.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37d…f197backed Yes	13c	450$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf1b…5f4cbacked No	79c	449.99$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	421.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.12	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd160…0af6backed Yes	11c	400$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…33a9backed Yes	17c	310.9$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.66	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	9c	300$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	272.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.79	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf408…b738backed Yes	9c	267.38$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.06	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd762…1e56backed Yes	6c	259.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.29	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Yes	11c	251.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-59%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc05…f600backed No	80c	250$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+37%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3779…6f7ebacked Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6585…2a0bbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-87%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa96…9592backed No	76c	207$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.68	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4d…c365backed Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9fea…d097backed Yes	10c	112.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c7…285fbacked Yes	34c	103.26$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa07…19e4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbd…a974backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf95a…12f7backed Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes	11c	99.08$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No	66c	97.88$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.28	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No	78c	76.32$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf08…cf97backed Yes	17c	66.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.23	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-17.0wins	-0.24per pick	39cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb2de…9b89backed Yes	20c	51$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d78…5cc7backed Yes	31c	32.07$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…bb81backed No	79c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.25	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?Yes won
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $60M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $80M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won
Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $50M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event