TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1b2…a321

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: AI, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$639.94
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,679.07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,719.95
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+172.4%+$4,763.16
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$702.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$895
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,864Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$735.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.6
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$980.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,567Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$2,253.72
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,363.01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,289.56
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,443.07
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,593.73
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,695.89
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$4,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,674.03
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,216
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,293
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$515.99
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$470
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,384Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+39.6%+$2,131.47
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$811.97
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$810
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,608.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,065.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$319.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$530.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800.68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,219.13
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$2,511.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713
Will Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $105 (HIGH) by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$3,263.71
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,161.38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$5,097.71
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+36.1%+$1,147.62
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick29cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.23
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$789Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$383.73
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$1,416.77
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$1,105.22
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$775
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40.92
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$998Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+129.3%+$1,289.96
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$378.86
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$387.13
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$360.06
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+359.8%+$3,014.06
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,095Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+158.9%+$3,328.55
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+109.4%+$984.42
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$53.79
All 17 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Italy win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$238.97
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$404.34
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$331.93
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.71
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Leon Felderer (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Men's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Mixed Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$967Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,450.92
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,307Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$631.31
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$76.88
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$380
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,350 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$87.69
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$34.91
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$83.26
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.73
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,000 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$141.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick7cpaid-47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+201.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+214.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,082.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $600M and $700M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.