Fed Rates · resolved market
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x257b18205f908aef01ef2d1d50e6fea7d29cf5486fe04031d8b101394476faed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,261,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,261,897 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,911 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed No | 0c | 1,199,998$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…cf9bbacked No | 1c | 900,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…665fbacked No | 1c | 764,765$7,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,796 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 1c | 759,397$4,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 1c | 739,838$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.19 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 1c | 525,252$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed No | 1c | 502,882$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…0024backed No | 1c | 451,839$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.07 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc87…de14backed No | 0c | 450,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…a487backed No | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed No | 11c | 309,999$34,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,099.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 0c | 292,503$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed No | 0c | 283,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…bbb9backed No | 1c | 264,993$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked No | 1c | 262,900$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed No | 5c | 261,958$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…3b02backed No | 1c | 249,700$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…e47cbacked No | 0c | 231,424$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…4de7backed No | 1c | 206,680$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…11cdbacked No | 1c | 204,600$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked No | 0c | 204,207$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed No | 1c | 190,727$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 1c | 177,928$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.88 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…185cbacked No | 4c | 163,577$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed No | 9c | 159,998$14,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,899.81 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed No | 17c | 155,112$26,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,452.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6682…e547backed No | 0c | 151,926$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…29d0backed No | 1c | 134,583$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…b86fbacked No | 7c | 131,405$9,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…ccb0backed No | 2c | 125,726$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…e07bbacked No | 0c | 112,383$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…6d6cbacked No | 1c | 109,371$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked No | 1c | 100,067$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.73 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…7271backed No | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed No | 2c | 100,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…56a3backed No | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked No | 1c | 99,915$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.79 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed No | 0c | 99,203$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…8988backed No | 1c | 97,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878e…a074backed No | 6c | 96,859$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,744.69 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…1c35backed No | 1c | 95,963$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.85 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…593dbacked No | 4c | 95,391$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…736bbacked No | 1c | 94,349$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…79abbacked No | 1c | 91,927$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d2…b69fbacked No | 1c | 90,219$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 1c | 83,429$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…8b70backed No | 1c | 83,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…5778backed No | 1c | 83,078$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 73c | 83,077$60,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,261.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eff…eddbbacked No | 0c | 80,170$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…8f39backed No | 1c | 80,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed No | 1c | 76,870$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.27 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked No | 1c | 71,151$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 5c | 70,839$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.53 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked No | 1c | 70,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…e1e2backed No | 1c | 69,822$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 3c | 67,135$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.97 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked No | 1c | 66,953$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…ccedbacked No | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7117…b331backed No | 1c | 66,000$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5c…50ffbacked No | 0c | 63,333$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 1c | 62,700$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed No | 2c | 60,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 2c | 59,872$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.08 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed No | 0c | 59,841$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…c824backed No | 8c | 58,750$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked No | 3c | 56,818$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…a2d0backed No | 1c | 56,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…9258backed No | 1c | 55,500$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…5d90backed No | 2c | 54,976$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…a6bebacked No | 0c | 54,827$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 0c | 54,220$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c9…62a0backed No | 1c | 53,321$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked No | 1c | 53,151$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…cde1backed No | 6c | 52,216$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…0981backed No | 0c | 51,559$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 79c | 50,165$39,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,493.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…106bbacked No | 1c | 50,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…8927backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…807abacked No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…b0d2backed No | 9c | 50,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 13c | 50,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.98 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…fa24backed No | 0c | 49,265$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…9138backed No | 1c | 48,828$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4a…17afbacked No | 1c | 48,200$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…a514backed No | 0c | 47,797$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…f73fbacked No | 1c | 47,180$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 9c | 46,646$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…0e03backed No | 1c | 46,530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…61c0backed No | 1c | 46,188$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…4077backed No | 0c | 46,167$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…92debacked No | 15c | 45,786$6,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked No | 0c | 45,102$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7a…1d90backed No | 1c | 44,104$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…e36fbacked No | 0c | 43,704$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed No | 3c | 42,773$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 42,538$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -96.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…bbcebacked No | 1c | 41,775$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f8a9backed No | 0c | 40,667$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…dfdabacked No | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.