Fed Rates · resolved market
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25aa90b3cd98305e849189b4e8b770fc77fe89bccb7cf9656468414e01145d38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,972,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,308,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,972,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 23,446,791$74,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,578.88 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…0556backed Yes | 1c | 4,917,386$71,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,338.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 4,370,174$49,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,976.94 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 3,332,938$7,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,658.61 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 0c | 2,774,504$7,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,143.91 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 0c | 2,574,377$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…9e7cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,325,260$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 1,880,337$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.34 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 1,869,661$21,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,651.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…78b0backed Yes | 0c | 1,561,684$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…e47cbacked Yes | 0c | 1,546,667$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 0c | 1,453,732$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,145.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc60d…2c97backed Yes | 0c | 1,451,803$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 0c | 1,304,024$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 1c | 1,299,914$8,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,267 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 1,278,738$4,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.95 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7938…95ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,112,990$7,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,090.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Yes | 0c | 1,053,000$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,100$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…42e0backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…cf9bbacked Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0960backed Yes | 0c | 874,896$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.69 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…5bcbbacked Yes | 1c | 730,948$5,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Yes | 0c | 730,367$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…8405backed Yes | 0c | 709,460$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.46 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7f…492bbacked Yes | 0c | 700,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed7…aab9backed Yes | 0c | 607,175$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Yes | 1c | 599,996$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Yes | 1c | 515,183$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,311.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…044bbacked Yes | 0c | 495,000$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed Yes | 0c | 434,389$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.54 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes | 1c | 425,000$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe15…14c0backed Yes | 1c | 408,627$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…e75fbacked Yes | 0c | 408,299$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd0…53e5backed Yes | 0c | 395,067$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 393,052$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.02 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…31d3backed Yes | 0c | 359,120$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 1c | 358,143$4,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…2f86backed Yes | 0c | 348,730$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 347,921$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.02 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…e36fbacked Yes | 0c | 335,667$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…013abacked Yes | 1c | 300,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…d389backed Yes | 0c | 275,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…ea18backed Yes | 0c | 262,024$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 260,000$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…6d6cbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…1276backed Yes | 1c | 250,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Yes | 0c | 243,442$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…333dbacked Yes | 0c | 241,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Yes | 0c | 231,980$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80d…0c0cbacked Yes | 0c | 225,000$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 220,000$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…7625backed Yes | 0c | 212,867$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 212,567$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.57 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked Yes | 0c | 202,000$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…440ebacked Yes | 0c | 201,731$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…40a5backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…d7c2backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c0…807abacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…f513backed Yes | 1c | 196,258$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…2ababacked Yes | 0c | 190,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…f1e4backed Yes | 0c | 178,920$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd1…a4a3backed Yes | 0c | 176,977$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 176,737$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.2 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a6…828fbacked Yes | 0c | 170,350$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c5…bd24backed Yes | 0c | 170,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 1c | 167,758$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.87 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 166,896$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.37 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -77%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 1c | 163,076$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 0c | 158,314$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 0c | 154,305$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.91 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…7547backed Yes | 0c | 151,417$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 150,580$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.16 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…2c4ebacked Yes | 0c | 150,477$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1255…fa6fbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8049…8f36backed Yes | 0c | 146,547$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…354cbacked Yes | 0c | 145,833$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…77b8backed Yes | 0c | 143,500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b4…b2f6backed Yes | 0c | 133,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…bb0fbacked Yes | 0c | 125,832$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…476abacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…bbcebacked Yes | 0c | 124,800$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…78d3backed Yes | 0c | 119,263$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b057backed Yes | 0c | 113,200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f8a9backed Yes | 0c | 113,000$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbe…60bcbacked Yes | 0c | 110,269$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Yes | 1c | 106,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 2c | 105,274$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…76bbbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 0c | 104,448$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.71 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…97efbacked Yes | 1c | 103,333$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15da…d514backed Yes | 0c | 102,405$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…e214backed Yes | 0c | 100,970$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…b701backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…486abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4510…3c34backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?this page
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No won
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No won
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.