Middle East · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x569d909807a5d032aac3cbb3971c503f72552bb49378636fc2812820158c7a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,051,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,065,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 933 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 58c | 39,189$22,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,925.03 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 76c | 23,051$17,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,519 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb83…8f26backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 62c | 19,325$12,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,035.02 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 24c | 18,584$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,139.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 54c | 17,138$9,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…9f1bbacked No | 33c | 17,043$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,473.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed No | 32c | 15,053$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,189.35 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 30c | 14,854$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,395.41 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 57c | 13,486$7,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,627.82 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked No | 32c | 12,710$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.75 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 59c | 12,046$7,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,151.7 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked Yes | 73c | 11,276$8,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,231.87 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -10.4wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 79c | 11,097$8,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.52 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed No | 35c | 10,477$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.72 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…7061backed No | 63c | 9,700$6,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,553.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 33c | 9,415$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 40c | 8,416$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,056 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed Yes | 69c | 7,759$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,390.79 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked Yes | 5c | 7,448$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…8054backed No | 22c | 7,015$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.6 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 54c | 7,000$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 32c | 6,233$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,217.08 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 60c | 6,034$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,644.67 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…8667backed No | 68c | 5,954$4,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…0e97backed Yes | 78c | 5,933$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.24 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…a864backed Yes | 77c | 5,922$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,582.56 | 35 | 80%28 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 76c | 5,847$4,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.08 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 78c | 5,755$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.58 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked No | 21c | 5,703$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,502.64 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 60c | 5,682$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.17 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbf…0c9abacked No | 31c | 5,539$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.18 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a2…6200backed Yes | 64c | 5,396$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 65c | 5,209$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.46 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.98 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…a3aebacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 31c | 4,846$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.68 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…e62abacked Yes | 4c | 4,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 62c | 4,610$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.41 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 4,544$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.17 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 27c | 4,520$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.67 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6d4ebacked No | 34c | 4,510$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.92 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed No | 45c | 4,464$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f34…c4f8backed Yes | 2c | 4,404$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…5698backed No | 40c | 4,314$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,596.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked No | 33c | 4,311$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked No | 30c | 4,279$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 41c | 4,096$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…2a1fbacked No | 31c | 4,057$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.87 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +15.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fb…0255backed No | 54c | 3,784$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…fd3ebacked No | 25c | 3,730$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed No | 41c | 3,710$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.3 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…f43dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,678$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.51per pick | 66cpaid | -81%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1d…9cb4backed Yes | 26c | 3,513$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…67a1backed Yes | 72c | 3,468$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…06fbbacked No | 39c | 3,100$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 74c | 3,092$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,067$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed Yes | 52c | 3,012$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.92 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 2c | 3,011$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 41c | 3,006$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 2,958$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1e…bb8cbacked No | 42c | 2,947$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…5a91backed No | 34c | 2,935$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 33c | 2,911$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.77 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 63c | 2,785$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.24 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…9019backed No | 32c | 2,688$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 4c | 2,651$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 2,644$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.05 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 39c | 2,613$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.67 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed No | 31c | 2,599$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.86 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…e8babacked No | 22c | 2,581$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x244c…1028backed No | 40c | 2,541$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…4cdebacked Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 78cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.98 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 63c | 2,443$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.96 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 3c | 2,438$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ee…da09backed No | 21c | 2,407$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.96 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 68c | 2,390$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 45c | 2,266$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.58 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3847…df89backed No | 29c | 2,240$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d51dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,232$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…b1d1backed No | 30c | 2,214$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.64 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 43c | 2,200$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.04 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 2,190$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.12 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed No | 77c | 2,148$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 1c | 2,102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 139 | 18.7%26 W · 113 L | -13.9wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…0007backed No | 43c | 2,000$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.43 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.66 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…0cfebacked No | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 50c | 1,998$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.81 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…96bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,978$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked No | 74c | 1,975$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 222 | 27%60 W · 162 L | +17.8wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.