Stocks · resolved market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9e98b52a8642faefc7908604a8ea6c85918b933ffa0131ab68022158ae3c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 35c | 8,876$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.7 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 75c | 8,124$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,959$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.18 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 61c | 2,355$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 53c | 2,350$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.49 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…500cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,342$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,087$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked Yes | 41c | 946.33$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 39c | 741.26$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.84 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…f36fbacked Yes | 6c | 650$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Yes | 31c | 507.26$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…5c1bbacked No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…ec76backed Yes | 69c | 483.93$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 46c | 474.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 47c | 470.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.51 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…faafbacked No | 46c | 461.32$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 45c | 423.3$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed Yes | 3c | 391.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 336.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 43c | 329$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 50c | 313.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 267$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 251.74$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 251.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 245.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 61c | 235.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 55c | 218.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 20c | 211.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…5c57backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 51c | 195.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5972backed No | 62c | 195$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked No | 51c | 193.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 11c | 181.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 175.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…5ff2backed Yes | 55c | 168.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 59c | 158.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed No | 66c | 149.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 15c | 145$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked No | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed No | 61c | 117.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 51c | 114.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3da0backed No | 62c | 106.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…4292backed Yes | 17c | 102.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff0…1429backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…63a4backed Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…8e08backed No | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…cc83backed Yes | 27c | 91.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked No | 50c | 86.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 27c | 86.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…2c78backed No | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…80d2backed Yes | 27c | 79.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 28c | 77.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…5716backed Yes | 35c | 65.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked Yes | 54c | 64.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 58c | 60.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 41c | 57.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…c78abacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…55a4backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked Yes | 47c | 52.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f2…25b0backed No | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed No | 59c | 46.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…c380backed No | 29c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 35c | 41.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…2cbfbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ae…372fbacked Yes | 43c | 37.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed Yes | 39c | 36.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 37c | 35.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…4f45backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed No | 76c | 34.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 41c | 33.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…88bcbacked No | 59c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…6eb3backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +8.7wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9a44…d282backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…da6dbacked No | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2796…e282backed No | 43c | 27.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 49c | 25.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 46c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…2f25backed Yes | 63c | 22.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…9a54backed Yes | 53c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f2…b7bcbacked No | 56c | 17.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 65c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?this page
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $$6,900 (HIGH) in February 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,800 (LOW) in February 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,350 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.