Stocks · resolved market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24222b1f5695d878e6e21cbcf4d2681f9497305872cb63b6415ff55f47cd07a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 80c | 7,556$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.62 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 45c | 6,940$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.66 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked No | 17c | 4,000$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 57c | 3,105$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.74 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 39c | 2,546$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.28 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed Yes | 29c | 2,179$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 2,109$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 2,074$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 29c | 2,031$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.97 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 64c | 1,699$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.17 | 1,783 | 49%874 W · 909 L | +142.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked Yes | 35c | 1,349$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 77c | 1,308$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Yes | 42c | 1,057$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.29 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed No | 77c | 1,011$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked No | 58c | 1,005$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed No | 57c | 890.24$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.37 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 34c | 824.98$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.49 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked No | 75c | 609.34$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…e775backed Yes | 19c | 600$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 585.11$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.27 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 29c | 574.93$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed Yes | 15c | 501.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +374.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 46c | 500$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…435bbacked No | 58c | 471.5$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 11c | 422.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 73c | 400$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 60cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 27c | 400$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 391.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…faafbacked No | 51c | 369.32$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 59c | 366.12$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 334.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 17c | 289.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 46c | 286.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…ed82backed No | 27c | 266.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +190.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 61c | 260$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…8b5ebacked Yes | 41c | 246.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 244.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 225$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…233abacked No | 79c | 213.34$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 201.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…ca94backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…f5e5backed Yes | 20c | 197.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a37…d223backed No | 49c | 194.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe51d…b450backed Yes | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506e…8433backed No | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…2cfbbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 58c | 170.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +78%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed No | 67c | 164.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed No | 74c | 161.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…9740backed Yes | 78c | 161$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf992…ebb5backed Yes | 48c | 148.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 9c | 143$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 38c | 127.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 34c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…eea1backed Yes | 18c | 113.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed Yes | 15c | 109.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 74c | 104.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…7382backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6e…d2cebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…2ff3backed Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…c6b3backed Yes | 55c | 99.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed No | 59c | 97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7283backed No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 12c | 87.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 78c | 87.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 73c | 83.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +8.7wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed No | 66c | 83.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…178fbacked Yes | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 27c | 71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 76c | 66.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…fe4ebacked No | 78c | 63.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…64c9backed Yes | 41c | 63.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 37c | 58.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…6eaebacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…8a38backed Yes | 35c | 56.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 33c | 54.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…5462backed Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 54c | 46.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +9.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f29…c7cdbacked Yes | 43c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 40.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3254…351fbacked No | 69c | 37.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed Yes | 47c | 28.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No | 57c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…e2d5backed No | 80c | 24.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3da0backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…3f95backed Yes | 79c | 20.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 70c | 20.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?this page
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $$6,900 (HIGH) in February 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,750 (LOW) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,800 (LOW) in February 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,040 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,350 (HIGH) in February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.