Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb0a6abf730d613190d1b49e64bbedb2af0cc14f8a6f87e8da9282e64c29c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,737,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,777,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,737,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 820 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 170,072$116,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,519.41 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 50c | 86,315$42,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,471 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 77c | 84,130$64,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,483 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 34c | 61,095$20,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,605.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 23c | 48,681$10,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,976.05 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 3c | 40,808$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.99 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 28c | 33,656$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,342.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 1c | 31,354$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 47c | 28,367$13,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,467.89 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 55c | 23,604$13,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,036.83 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 68c | 23,015$15,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,413.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 41c | 21,473$8,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,705.61 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…47b9backed Yes | 0c | 21,454$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 20,114$8,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,246.82 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed No | 71c | 19,509$13,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.97 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 60c | 16,994$10,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,855.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 69c | 16,992$11,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,236.75 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 41c | 16,272$6,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,566.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 65c | 14,443$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.05 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 8c | 13,505$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.98 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 37c | 12,966$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 12c | 10,603$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.75 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 5c | 10,583$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.92 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 34c | 10,545$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,545.87 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 11c | 10,095$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.24 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 10c | 10,050$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.86 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 8c | 10,000$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.84 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 70c | 9,900$6,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.96 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 9,866$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 41c | 9,688$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 21c | 9,327$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.96 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 4c | 8,404$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 62c | 8,292$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…01bcbacked Yes | 28c | 7,758$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.33 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 80c | 7,580$6,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,567$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 55c | 7,431$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.76 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…f5f4backed Yes | 8c | 7,400$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 53c | 7,185$3,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 70c | 6,953$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.9 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…59f2backed No | 79c | 6,792$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 18c | 6,554$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.93 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 58c | 6,499$3,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 79c | 6,335$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed No | 66c | 5,955$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.4 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…55e9backed No | 27c | 5,873$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 47c | 5,758$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.05 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 48c | 5,086$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 39c | 5,076$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.72 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…48dbbacked No | 64c | 5,034$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951e…2a1cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,977$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…eec5backed Yes | 1c | 4,688$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc438…3ae6backed No | 71c | 4,615$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6660…172bbacked Yes | 41c | 4,542$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 42c | 4,475$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 47c | 4,300$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.96 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked No | 73c | 4,212$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.86 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 33c | 4,178$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.13 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 37c | 4,067$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.37 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 4,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 28c | 3,960$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.68 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,957$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.76 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 66c | 3,850$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…cd4abacked Yes | 30c | 3,709$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.12 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 66c | 3,638$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.79 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 51c | 3,277$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.31 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43d…8a2abacked Yes | 29c | 3,217$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b3…961fbacked Yes | 38c | 3,181$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed No | 74c | 3,144$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 56c | 3,121$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.2 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 3,061$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…786bbacked Yes | 33c | 3,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Yes | 26c | 2,918$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…3cd5backed Yes | 53c | 2,850$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7683…d93fbacked No | 80c | 2,819$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…be4cbacked No | 68c | 2,816$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…3fc6backed Yes | 26c | 2,752$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…c363backed Yes | 37c | 2,697$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 38c | 2,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 70c | 2,529$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,516$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed No | 70c | 2,500$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…466dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,400$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 69c | 2,342$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 2,339$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.14 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 60c | 2,336$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.37 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 12c | 2,330$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 46c | 2,307$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.05 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Yes | 27c | 2,271$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked No | 63c | 2,253$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed No | 67c | 2,181$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed No | 64c | 2,137$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 22c | 2,127$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 42c | 2,116$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.14 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…867ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…4d05backed No | 63c | 2,038$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.