Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96e71186507bf493bd1fb8101418c369c6296a29b49514fdec3f7bfe7197909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,750,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,860,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,750,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 14c | 372,264$53,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,820.26 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 4c | 89,225$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.16 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 25c | 40,504$10,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,075.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…b069backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 73c | 29,051$21,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,759.6 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 77c | 20,861$15,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.17 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 80c | 20,839$16,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.42 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 11c | 16,593$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.22 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked No | 73c | 14,469$10,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 18c | 13,639$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 12c | 13,087$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.42 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,430$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 75c | 11,569$8,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.06 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 65c | 11,349$7,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,927.31 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 9,563$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.55 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 20c | 9,247$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.85 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 72c | 8,960$6,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Yes | 6c | 8,517$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.32 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 72c | 8,325$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.91 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…aa8dbacked Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed Yes | 17c | 7,978$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 25c | 7,547$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 6,886$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.47 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2520…0e22backed Yes | 12c | 6,704$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…f87dbacked Yes | 31c | 6,433$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…1a93backed No | 71c | 6,240$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 6,099$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.64 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 72c | 6,046$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.08 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,035$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 62c | 5,814$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.52 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…f8e8backed Yes | 1c | 5,601$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…97fdbacked Yes | 12c | 5,483$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 16c | 5,412$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.43 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 13c | 5,355$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.25 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 10c | 5,258$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed No | 75c | 5,200$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 71c | 5,000$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.86 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 29c | 4,916$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.29 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 27c | 4,910$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.03 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 12c | 4,865$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 0c | 4,847$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe228…1f4cbacked Yes | 27c | 4,840$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.07 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 7c | 4,778$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.85 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 2c | 4,352$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 73c | 4,020$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 10c | 4,019$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 9c | 4,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e3…e379backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 6c | 3,888$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 79 | 32.9%26 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,863$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…c61abacked Yes | 13c | 3,788$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,659$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.98 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…e3e3backed No | 54c | 3,431$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes | 24c | 3,413$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…86c4backed No | 68c | 3,400$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 18c | 3,306$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.74 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…d030backed Yes | 30c | 3,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 77c | 3,218$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.04 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…d9edbacked Yes | 31c | 3,139$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…2647backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d1…c1a2backed No | 77c | 2,944$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…396bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,940$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 11c | 2,720$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…678ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,700$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 76c | 2,632$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 28c | 2,620$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked No | 64c | 2,550$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf115…ad6bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,464$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.83 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 11c | 2,332$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,280$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.79 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 72c | 2,279$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.08 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 6c | 2,273$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 9c | 2,237$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 65c | 2,237$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.79 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 10c | 2,179$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.01 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 67c | 2,052$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.94 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 29c | 2,013$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 27c | 2,012$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.79 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +289%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 5c | 1,957$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,880$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 1,862$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 22c | 1,833$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 18cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,833$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…64a8backed Yes | 25c | 1,806$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 66c | 1,805$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.63 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca88…efb2backed Yes | 6c | 1,780$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,738$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…d8bcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,700$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 1,696$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb422…08acbacked No | 75c | 1,690$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed No | 62c | 1,678$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…13a1backed Yes | 6c | 1,662$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 79c | 1,634$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…883dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,626$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…39b2backed No | 62c | 1,623$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed No | 76c | 1,600$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.