Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33fe992242f035a0fe5ea878b24c6647e8514d241b3db60d447dce9f0c3638a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 10c | 66,186$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab49…02babacked No | 0c | 50,550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 10c | 11,521$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.41 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 11c | 11,508$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.2 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…74e2backed No | 8c | 5,097$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 9c | 4,099$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.38 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 12c | 4,087$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 16c | 3,411$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.36 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked No | 12c | 3,104$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked No | 9c | 2,980$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8321…506dbacked No | 12c | 2,116$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 16c | 2,075$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.9 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed No | 14c | 1,848$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 5c | 1,574$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 1c | 1,479$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…2a01backed No | 11c | 1,255$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 12c | 1,219$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 18c | 1,212$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 11c | 1,210$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 14c | 1,141$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…fcbabacked No | 11c | 1,109$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 8c | 1,100$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55c0…6c7bbacked No | 2c | 1,080$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47d7…df89backed No | 14c | 1,016$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 11c | 974.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b84…953abacked No | 11c | 917.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 9c | 838.05$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…96babacked No | 12c | 784.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 5c | 673.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 586.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 15c | 584.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 10c | 560$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…812cbacked Yes | 51c | 550.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 14c | 541.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…f804backed No | 11c | 541.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 3c | 519.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…5d0ebacked No | 8c | 517.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 10c | 514.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked No | 8c | 500$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 7c | 467.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 13c | 446.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed No | 4c | 416$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked No | 12c | 394.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 8c | 364.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…f1e2backed No | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…76aebacked No | 15c | 361.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…d40bbacked No | 11c | 312.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae26…e478backed No | 11c | 297.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…8e74backed No | 11c | 272$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…5f0dbacked No | 15c | 264$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…8795backed No | 10c | 260.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ce…ffd8backed No | 16c | 257.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…57bfbacked No | 18c | 257.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…5989backed No | 13c | 245.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked No | 13c | 228.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…9a7ebacked No | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c5…57c8backed No | 5c | 227$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…ed17backed No | 13c | 220$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…ee80backed No | 8c | 220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd96…6a46backed No | 11c | 219.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b07…c39ebacked No | 16c | 202.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…462dbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…4c46backed No | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f34…c995backed No | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…6fc9backed No | 10c | 156.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…d390backed No | 12c | 113.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…147bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +922%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…27dbbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…9785backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…51ddbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…35f0backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…486cbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…c00ebacked No | 11c | 97.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…626ebacked No | 11c | 88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…21c2backed No | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 17c | 67.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…3bc0backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.