Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1591b72dc504383d8fa2024e72a585c520b3c673614100d2e167507485e17e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,096,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,965,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,096,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 5c | 204,473$11,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,108.02 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 4c | 181,831$8,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,048.83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e71…ba82backed Yes | 10c | 100,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f0…aae9backed Yes | 2c | 78,358$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 6c | 56,728$3,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.79 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 49,368$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.58 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Yes | 6c | 45,000$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 38,450$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.71 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 2c | 38,144$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.55 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 6c | 38,000$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 7c | 36,143$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.01 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 5c | 34,770$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…60b5backed Yes | 7c | 34,500$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 1c | 34,103$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.6 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked Yes | 2c | 33,194$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 5c | 31,334$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.57 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +289%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 2c | 30,885$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.58 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 3c | 27,069$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.74 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed Yes | 6c | 25,277$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.88 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 1c | 25,005$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,466$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 3c | 21,494$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.21 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…7322backed Yes | 2c | 20,661$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 1c | 20,001$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.88 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…9861backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3532…663abacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb057…0a24backed Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 7c | 18,877$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.88 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 1c | 18,796$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…9e32backed Yes | 8c | 17,919$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 0c | 17,903$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…605fbacked Yes | 4c | 16,983$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 3c | 16,432$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 0c | 16,358$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 9c | 16,001$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 8c | 15,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 8c | 14,965$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.96 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…d050backed Yes | 2c | 14,870$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 14,826$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb9…be45backed Yes | 1c | 14,338$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…7e2bbacked Yes | 3c | 14,314$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.1 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 7c | 13,727$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.87 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…ce0dbacked Yes | 4c | 13,725$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…f8e4backed Yes | 2c | 11,240$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…6c7bbacked Yes | 2c | 10,966$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 6c | 10,679$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.89 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…03f6backed Yes | 11c | 9,303$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…2cecbacked Yes | 9c | 8,952$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 8,680$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…3be2backed Yes | 3c | 8,456$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…1fb6backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 2c | 7,524$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.38 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 3c | 7,067$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 1c | 6,980$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed Yes | 4c | 6,977$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…1672backed Yes | 2c | 6,404$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe3…883dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,396$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…a4a5backed Yes | 6c | 6,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 2c | 6,112$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…8be7backed Yes | 5c | 5,833$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…531dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,492$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…ee72backed Yes | 1c | 5,210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 5c | 5,161$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…3e5cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2a…160dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 1c | 4,992$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 7c | 4,864$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.66 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…df6cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,833$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb3…220ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,480$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…4f61backed Yes | 10c | 4,111$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…dc80backed Yes | 6c | 4,095$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…192cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…c2bfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,000$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,987$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…82c5backed Yes | 7c | 3,675$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…13d2backed Yes | 3c | 3,229$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0817backed Yes | 5c | 3,187$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…65d2backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,900$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.53 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,889$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…0158backed Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b3…7469backed Yes | 6c | 2,756$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2945…c6ddbacked Yes | 2c | 2,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…02c7backed Yes | 6c | 2,525$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…9c85backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…c658backed Yes | 6c | 2,457$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…d0a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,404$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 4c | 2,393$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Yes | 4c | 2,340$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc46…899abacked Yes | 3c | 2,327$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…bd75backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 2c | 2,222$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…47b9backed Yes | 0c | 2,200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.