Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a7bc81b3d628f77a9ceca546f581aa2ae46b7285662f7765096216bce9d59b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 61c | 20,449$12,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,026.84 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 69c | 19,411$13,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 38c | 13,332$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.14 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 64c | 11,919$7,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.7 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 43c | 9,456$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b25…d739backed Yes | 71c | 7,043$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 2c | 5,090$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 19c | 4,815$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.11 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 59c | 4,353$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.81 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed Yes | 68c | 3,765$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 39c | 3,502$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 20c | 3,250$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.5 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 67c | 3,249$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 37c | 3,011$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.3 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 33c | 3,000$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.46 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 33c | 2,591$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 69c | 2,540$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed No | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 17c | 2,278$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.96 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 5c | 2,064$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 24c | 2,000$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.07 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a5…1f45backed No | 32c | 1,578$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 41c | 1,520$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.35 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 25c | 1,517$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 63c | 1,490$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…11ffbacked No | 37c | 1,421$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc9…ec4bbacked No | 14c | 1,412$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 35c | 1,285$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.2 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 30c | 1,238$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked No | 35c | 1,195$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 36c | 1,148$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.79 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 70c | 1,143$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 24c | 1,060$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…b236backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed Yes | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…fa0ebacked Yes | 70c | 951.54$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 27c | 920.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 38c | 867.94$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.46 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 34c | 798.55$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 32c | 795.43$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.54 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 30c | 765.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 63c | 700$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +289%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…a1aebacked No | 30c | 699.98$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a7b4backed Yes | 59c | 666.07$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 62c | 650.76$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c26…1432backed No | 10c | 641.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 21c | 599.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 26c | 586.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…acbbbacked Yes | 67c | 578.55$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 32c | 552.7$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.86 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…883abacked No | 29c | 550.49$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 69c | 526.5$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 33c | 518.24$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…ee80backed Yes | 65c | 505$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…185bbacked No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed No | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 43c | 472$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 21c | 468.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 67c | 444$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…8b3dbacked No | 34c | 441.5$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf2…c221backed No | 31c | 406.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…8c8dbacked No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…46eebacked Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 65c | 400$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 31c | 368.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 10c | 367.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…d654backed Yes | 63c | 319.72$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 19c | 313.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…8482backed No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +188%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…2735backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…51e2backed No | 38c | 284.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked No | 31c | 280$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…4465backed No | 37c | 274.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Yes | 67c | 267.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d9…5044backed No | 32c | 264.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…7d68backed No | 38c | 257.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 38c | 252.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…31dabacked Yes | 65c | 247.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…5d0ebacked No | 30c | 236.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…c199backed Yes | 72c | 236.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b5…1542backed No | 43c | 234.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x40b6…bf8ebacked No | 37c | 230.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…f182backed No | 33c | 230$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed No | 10c | 229.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3976…808cbacked Yes | 69c | 222$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.