Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bab360a81b57047b48c0dd7c6c1377706129e3e6b9fa3f079cc28d310ec4cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,491,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,626,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,491,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 56c | 288,169$161,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,561.39 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…b94bbacked No | 45c | 196,796$87,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,108.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 44c | 102,662$45,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,457.23 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 55c | 100,187$55,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,082.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed No | 68c | 97,354$66,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,840.95 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 1c | 88,851$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.51 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 27c | 80,699$21,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,091.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 46c | 78,917$36,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,738.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 55c | 60,603$33,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,519.53 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…d3f1backed No | 25c | 60,547$14,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,566.82 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.46per pick | 43cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 47c | 56,000$26,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,831.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 8c | 54,375$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,303.69 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 70c | 46,471$32,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,794.94 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…11d7backed Yes | 72c | 45,000$32,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 48c | 44,175$21,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,181.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed No | 33c | 39,211$12,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,462.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked Yes | 52c | 39,108$20,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,455.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…28debacked Yes | 31c | 35,324$11,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,096.57 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 59c | 35,142$20,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,767.01 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 56c | 35,035$19,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,546.93 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 62c | 26,380$16,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,481.46 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 52c | 26,373$13,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,703.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 7c | 24,739$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.06 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed No | 47c | 20,402$9,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,813.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 70c | 19,778$13,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,837.59 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 25c | 19,018$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,201.95 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 44c | 18,489$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,273.42 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 59c | 17,922$10,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,559.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked Yes | 65c | 17,683$11,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 57c | 17,470$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 80c | 16,480$13,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed No | 45c | 16,398$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 50c | 16,298$8,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ea…48dbbacked No | 67c | 15,464$10,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 53c | 14,982$7,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,008.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6992…6c1dbacked Yes | 45c | 14,883$6,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,752.83 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 14,309$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 79c | 13,937$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.79 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed No | 72c | 13,717$9,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,827.87 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 47c | 13,342$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,024.35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 16c | 13,300$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.92 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed Yes | 76c | 13,292$10,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,095.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…4ff6backed Yes | 1c | 13,078$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 37c | 12,169$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,641.23 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 72c | 12,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 47c | 11,971$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.47 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked No | 63c | 11,450$7,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,271.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 67c | 11,324$7,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.51 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 61c | 10,700$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.46 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbf…bac7backed No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,199.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0716…55e9backed Yes | 59c | 9,809$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 62c | 9,793$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.63 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 10c | 9,772$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.19 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…4af8backed Yes | 44c | 9,752$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 40c | 9,208$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 51c | 9,134$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…6a8dbacked Yes | 50c | 9,068$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 76c | 8,888$6,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.81 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 53c | 8,401$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.33 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…7c06backed No | 55c | 8,368$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…348abacked Yes | 3c | 8,365$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 42c | 8,339$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,839.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 45c | 8,322$3,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.57 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…71d6backed Yes | 60c | 8,295$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 49c | 8,242$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 29c | 8,174$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.19 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Yes | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 52c | 7,828$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,789.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 63c | 7,777$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 54c | 7,414$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed Yes | 64c | 7,411$4,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,725.66 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…f5f4backed Yes | 5c | 7,400$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked No | 53c | 7,099$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,322.17 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 75c | 7,023$5,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 63c | 7,000$4,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,440 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed No | 12c | 6,791$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…9462backed No | 52c | 6,700$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…9840backed Yes | 32c | 6,575$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.57 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…7bdabacked Yes | 72c | 6,499$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 62c | 6,377$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400.48 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 28c | 6,369$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 41c | 6,231$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 58c | 6,094$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 9c | 6,030$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.03 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 4c | 5,952$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.14 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 48c | 5,820$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.89 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 64c | 5,803$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.67 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 5,397$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 35c | 5,370$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.05 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…dc8dbacked No | 29c | 5,185$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 59c | 5,176$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 73c | 5,024$3,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.86 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 45c | 4,932$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.82 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…2598backed Yes | 6c | 4,930$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 30c | 4,842$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.37 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,818$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.17 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed Yes | 73c | 4,791$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 49c | 4,752$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.