Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0220e320852050a884e73bfe20447cbabe17ce934107cebc48a829b4a558204f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,195,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,856,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,195,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf661…2259backed Yes | 2c | 300,935$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…e804backed Yes | 2c | 158,057$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…8e6dbacked Yes | 0c | 97,555$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.06 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…043abacked Yes | 2c | 82,031$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…c74bbacked Yes | 1c | 75,285$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.67 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 2c | 50,024$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…840abacked Yes | 2c | 48,742$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8c…90f8backed Yes | 1c | 36,331$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a36…bd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 33,333$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 0c | 33,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed Yes | 2c | 31,937$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 1c | 28,882$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 0c | 28,123$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes | 2c | 25,415$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…8c02backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.87 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…7811backed Yes | 0c | 24,298$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…ce0dbacked Yes | 2c | 22,348$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…3ac7backed Yes | 2c | 20,811$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ce…cd74backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576f…819abacked Yes | 2c | 18,177$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 2c | 16,763$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3250…7d17backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed Yes | 1c | 15,682$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 1c | 13,526$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219d…145bbacked Yes | 2c | 13,061$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.69 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…5ce8backed Yes | 1c | 11,663$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed Yes | 1c | 11,560$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.93 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…4eb7backed Yes | 1c | 11,499$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…47b9backed Yes | 0c | 11,298$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…79a9backed Yes | 0c | 11,270$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4101…1faabacked Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7562…4984backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…0158backed Yes | 1c | 9,864$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…5b1dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,918$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7d…a524backed Yes | 1c | 6,794$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…e5ffbacked Yes | 2c | 6,773$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,709$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 2c | 6,668$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1593backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…605fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,149$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3716…238cbacked Yes | 0c | 6,047$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…8409backed Yes | 2c | 5,613$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…86b4backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…a860backed Yes | 2c | 5,319$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…acd8backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…a0cebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…0cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,610$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9611…1c01backed Yes | 0c | 4,600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…282fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…5b45backed Yes | 1c | 4,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…fde0backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…97acbacked Yes | 1c | 3,937$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 0c | 3,809$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…8464backed Yes | 2c | 3,776$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…edd9backed Yes | 2c | 3,566$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…13d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,511$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3631…1522backed Yes | 2c | 3,400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b0…8bd0backed Yes | 0c | 3,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…faadbacked Yes | 2c | 3,220$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…f62abacked Yes | 2c | 3,150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01aa…e6f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,090$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…3cd5backed Yes | 2c | 3,049$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e16…760bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,032$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 2c | 3,005$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,778$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…54f5backed Yes | 2c | 2,694$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…6bb6backed Yes | 1c | 2,520$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…3165backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 2c | 2,457$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 1c | 2,386$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…8f38backed Yes | 1c | 2,318$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…b410backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Yes | 1c | 2,164$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…7f23backed Yes | 1c | 2,122$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…cd22backed Yes | 2c | 2,033$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…2cecbacked Yes | 2c | 2,018$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…2b30backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 2c | 1,955$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…443abacked Yes | 2c | 1,900$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…0b46backed Yes | 1c | 1,880$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 69 | 2.9%2 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…bd19backed Yes | 2c | 1,784$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62f…859abacked Yes | 2c | 1,765$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…2878backed Yes | 1c | 1,728$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…8f94backed Yes | 1c | 1,705$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85eb…d068backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…add8backed Yes | 1c | 1,666$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 53 | 0%0 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 2c | 1,515$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3611…6880backed Yes | 1c | 1,377$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 1,345$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 84 | 0%0 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1e5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,260$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…07d4backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13df…ec0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,176$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…54b4backed Yes | 1c | 1,175$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…9689backed Yes | 1c | 1,150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.