TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $130 in February?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes10c18,157$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.2963835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccae…d37abacked Yes1c13,950$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes2c10,025$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.45432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes0c9,674$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.73110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes8c8,950$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7141022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes10c8,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes4c7,235$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.666785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff49…2f07backed Yes0c6,896$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b2…a321backed Yes21c6,310$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320.4150%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c2…8915backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked No80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+270.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,617$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.691,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x701c…e096backed Yes11c4,098$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.74200%0 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes6c3,981$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.963998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes0c3,414$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241070%0 W · 107 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8240…566abacked Yes0c3,303$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5e…79c7backed Yes2c2,733$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.37119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-82.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c2,448$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.221490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes4c2,443$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.12683.4%9 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes4c2,405$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.024163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…03ecbacked Yes7c2,152$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f37…6979backed Yes2c2,090$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4740%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94e…f946backed No78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a5…59a4backed Yes17c1,750$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…056fbacked Yes23c1,742$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes4c1,740$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.595837.9%22 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes5c1,700$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.41375.8%8 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x620e…621bbacked Yes16c1,560$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c54…1bddbacked Yes8c1,560$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.811010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes8c1,445$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.084211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8304…8526backed Yes6c1,418$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.271285.5%7 W · 121 L+0.6wins0.00per pick5cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb34…a1cdbacked No64c1,390$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.32462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed4c…6ee3backed Yes1c1,343$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ac…2163backed Yes9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Yes7c1,300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90180%0 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3afb…8050backed Yes1c1,289$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bda…7258backed Yes2c1,219$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.170%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes8c1,214$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.091067.5%8 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes3c1,200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.372270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…a8e1backed Yes9c1,165$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.74616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes5c1,162$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6713117.6%23 W · 108 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62aa…70adbacked Yes14c1,150$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes16c1,142$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.85119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-86%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes2c1,076$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes1c1,021$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82f…75ffbacked Yes20c1,001$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick20cpaid+158.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902313%3 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bd…b9eebacked Yes18c986.44$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2feb…b324backed Yes19c943.75$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752516%4 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes5c940$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c5…7b67backed Yes18c900.74$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…6984backed Yes7c857.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60240%0 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x497f…2e80backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dfa…c7a6backed Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…fc71backed Yes3c819.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.250%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No77c789.83$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5929126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df5…e7c2backed Yes12c741.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa219…60e8backed Yes15c739.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6be…43c9backed Yes1c727$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+117%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes2c700.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14402.5%1 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92f…24dabacked Yes6c700$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd046…5b00backed No78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…8613backed Yes6c595.76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.831735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb0…f162backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c513.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0564812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf17f…b558backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-91.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277e…7d32backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253786.5%32 W · 5 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+31.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf4db…ef1fbacked Yes15c470.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.56425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed Yes26c462.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.336543.1%28 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc536…f086backed Yes21c450$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e36…e5ccbacked Yes6c436.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59bc…3d81backed Yes14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes3c392.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6511533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes9c391.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.089022.2%20 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9945…ef4bbacked Yes9c391.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.26425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+113.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa9b…7fcdbacked Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick14cpaid+529.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c344.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61499.4%14 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes8c328.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5131523.8%75 W · 240 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes8c265.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.021165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d71…dec2backed Yes23c250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…14f5backed Yes6c249.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd81…bb2ebacked Yes8c234.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ca21backed Yes21c216.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes14c211.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304721.3%10 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c1…4e3ebacked Yes8c204.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes6c203.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1f…6c61backed Yes21c202.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212129.8%36 W · 85 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x098e…cc4cbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf0…e27cbacked Yes18c185$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.350%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc094…3234backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+61.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c6…faa9backed Yes11c179$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes17c171.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa90a…da95backed Yes6c167$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43c…6159backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…6320backed Yes17c159.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1450%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd76d…6f63backed Yes13c151.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8b…65aabacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.