Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $150 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62b43eb889972429ad544f6fd6e5da74d032205b0568f027d1fff5f085eba89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $542,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes | 0c | 99,947$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 33,544$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…566abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 4c | 13,400$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…21f2backed Yes | 5c | 9,945$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 3c | 7,253$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.78 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 7,033$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,879$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 5,319$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 5,252$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…93c1backed Yes | 2c | 4,979$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 2c | 4,400$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 3c | 3,952$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,745$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes | 1c | 3,485$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,850$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,784$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…1dd8backed Yes | 4c | 2,779$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…e096backed Yes | 4c | 2,617$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,573$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 2c | 2,265$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…5701backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +452.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,216$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,975$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 3c | 1,971$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…03ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,901$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…ef1fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,887$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 3c | 1,744$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…b7c0backed Yes | 3c | 1,671$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 4c | 1,657$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,623$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…9665backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,365$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f37…6979backed Yes | 3c | 1,276$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes | 2c | 1,261$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 2c | 1,159$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…d045backed Yes | 1c | 1,020$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…4f4ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,003$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1a…c216backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…4dbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 3c | 906.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yes | 6c | 900$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -86%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…5325backed Yes | 3c | 859.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 834$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…59a3backed Yes | 4c | 756.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 2c | 739.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 720.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…5d18backed Yes | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…f384backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…943fbacked Yes | 3c | 555.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…96f8backed Yes | 4c | 536.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 533.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 7c | 514.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…0962backed Yes | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 443.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Yes | 4c | 423.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e0…59ffbacked Yes | 5c | 413.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…cb46backed Yes | 4c | 384.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc742…6963backed Yes | 7c | 383.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…1bddbacked Yes | 3c | 331.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 4c | 322.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6995…325ebacked Yes | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…d9d2backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed Yes | 6c | 229.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…aa1abacked Yes | 7c | 174.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…ab5cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…4a20backed Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…c1c4backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469d…e622backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.