Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d82983e7d79519512957c8e4ea9b32f63b86fe434eb2ca38dddc69584b9fbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $861,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ace…c7b7backed Yes | 1c | 44,533$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…cbbcbacked Yes | 2c | 23,231$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…640bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…a878backed Yes | 1c | 16,583$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,549$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 71 | 0%0 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 1c | 11,873$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 11,819$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf562…4099backed Yes | 2c | 9,186$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.11 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…b4bbbacked Yes | 1c | 7,849$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 1c | 7,806$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675e…cef4backed Yes | 1c | 7,711$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 1c | 6,267$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,995$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e266backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…84e7backed Yes | 1c | 5,382$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 5,272$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Yes | 2c | 4,607$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Yes | 1c | 4,603$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,286$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 4,031$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 1c | 3,936$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…c312backed Yes | 3c | 3,842$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,840$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,530$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…3926backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,706$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,522$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 1c | 2,380$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 1c | 2,096$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 1c | 2,074$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 1c | 2,061$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…95a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,007$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…b68bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…730cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,820$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 1,766$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,528$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,499$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 98 | 5.1%5 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd603…836dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,444$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 5cpaid | +203.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…db22backed Yes | 1c | 1,264$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…f231backed Yes | 1c | 1,217$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4896…fe47backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 1c | 780$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 1c | 774.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…d0f6backed Yes | 2c | 733.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…5334backed Yes | 2c | 676.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $20 in February?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $30 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $40 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $60 in February?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $90 in February?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $120 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $190 in February?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.