TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $70 in February?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$433,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3526…aababacked Yes26c33,895$8,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,088.545425.9%14 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick11cpaid+83.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No67c27,042$18,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,041.5129126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x530e…cc11backed Yes14c18,013$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,512.646123%14 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+143.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc747…324bbacked Yes14c15,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,9506622.7%15 W · 51 L+12.3wins+0.19per pick4cpaid+272.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed No0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%0 W · 107 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes8c10,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,20010313.6%14 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb5…a393backed No48c9,649$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,655.1116761.7%103 W · 64 L+19.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xed55…d480backed Yes11c8,053$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,146.63966.7%6 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.50per pick16cpaid+338.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes11c7,123$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,323.0314213.4%19 W · 123 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed Yes16c5,910$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,952.581650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1087…013bbacked Yes15c5,543$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.623613.9%5 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x620e…621bbacked Yes11c5,000$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.991315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes11c4,421$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,921.054422.7%10 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes30c4,333$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.36742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d4…2559backed Yes41c4,047$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,397.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes11c3,739$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.6319.7%3 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f5…0138backed No66c3,017$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed Yes10c2,900$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+400%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc190…312ebacked Yes12c2,445$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.681040%4 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick12cpaid+139.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed No60c2,400$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4451361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes13c2,165$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.634030%12 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+5.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc9…24dcbacked Yes10c1,827$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.745111.8%6 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2feb…b324backed Yes9c1,797$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.752516%4 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d54…e1f8backed Yes11c1,754$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.483721.6%8 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+1,064.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c1,539$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.651,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d82…c7e9backed Yes34c1,482$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…bbabbacked Yes15c1,333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick19cpaid+257.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c1,331$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.0964812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes10c1,263$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.924211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes7c1,212$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.124754.6%22 W · 453 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+144.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec68…a36fbacked Yes25c1,000$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.073520%7 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f7…aedebacked No67c1,000$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-82.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fd…b717backed Yes21c963.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.92933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1307…bd75backed Yes10c960.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.681631.3%5 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick16cpaid+80%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3761…bb47backed Yes11c896.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.116615.2%10 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Yes31c874.47$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.472040%8 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fda…6827backed Yes14c753.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.81633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+142.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No20c719$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.761693.6%6 W · 163 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes14c699.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.381499.4%14 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3bd…193abacked Yes18c626.44$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.451145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick18cpaid+96.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x989c…69f4backed No73c610.68$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.037330.1%22 W · 51 L-18.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-54.8%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No2c500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52417.1%17 W · 224 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25af…bcafbacked Yes13c499.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.593998.5%34 W · 365 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2510…60adbacked No33c465.91$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.796564.6%42 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4a4…a548backed No59c464.88$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.812821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-63.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked No47c461.7$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Yes13c434.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.9826274.4%195 W · 67 L+45.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+31.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x68c9…4c60backed No69c432.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes57c411.56$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.089041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa488…4a49backed No66c400$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes9c399.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.766785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ad…63debacked Yes33c365.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+230.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4768…9117backed Yes27c350.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes77c347.15$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1534848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No70c339.99$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5613038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9536…a69dbacked Yes11c337.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.39425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+127.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1f…6c61backed Yes12c332.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2612129.8%36 W · 85 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x578f…f112backed No76c321.74$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.575756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd603…836dbacked Yes9c317.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.751323.1%3 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick5cpaid+203.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61f8…3e02backed Yes33c302.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick27cpaid+203.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x06c8…d39cbacked Yes30c297.12$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.742759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80a2…838bbacked No56c285$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No72c260$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6521…85febacked Yes71c259.9$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6810…38a3backed Yes67c252.36$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.941631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes36c245.36$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.913053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x766a…0bfebacked Yes15c237.6$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+452.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0df5…e7c2backed No75c225$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes13c220.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.289022.2%20 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbed…133fbacked Yes69c216.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9945…ef4bbacked Yes12c213.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.68425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+113.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes15c211.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.472999.4%28 W · 271 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x804f…3e1cbacked Yes14c207.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+89.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd91…6262backed Yes11c200.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.122025%5 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Yes9c200$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.62015%3 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe04…9a42backed Yes12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1763435.3%12 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75ca…a461backed No73c199.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-45.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes10c188.46$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.554721.3%10 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes53c187.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.013026.7%8 W · 22 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0739…15a0backed Yes59c177.39$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+247%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7cbe…f7b4backed Yes12c168.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+740.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7814…8713backed Yes16c164.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+204.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e01…d99ebacked Yes36c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.75450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+201.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…de36backed Yes10c150$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+97.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed No33c149.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.517953.6%96 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Yes23c146.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick24cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa06c…635dbacked Yes34c146.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x769c…6c64backed Yes71c141.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5254…891bbacked Yes30c136.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.771637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…4dc0backed No46c130.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd3…65bebacked Yes14c129.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.111050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+88.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed No78c128.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…14f5backed Yes22c120$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Yes14c109.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.746813.2%9 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a13…f178backed Yes9c107$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.94944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…b159backed Yes19c106.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.82650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb17…2ae4backed Yes66c102$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.886100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed No57c100.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa46…25f4backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.