TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbf6…5cc2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT4667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Gabriela Rusebacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Open Sud de France: Hamad Medjedovic vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+131.1%+$26.22
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+64.4%+$12.63
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Simona Waltertbacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$61.88
Transylvania Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Paula Badosa vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Transylvania Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ostrava Open: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$14.74
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Australian Open Women's: Katerina Siniakova vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.96
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Australian Open Men's: Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Ferybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Australian Open Women's: Yulia Putintseva vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3616.7%6 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+78.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $50M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.5
Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.67
Over $140M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Over $160M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+50.8%+$15.2
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.35
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100.79
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$106.96
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. St. Francis (PA) Red Flashbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.82
Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Northern Illinois Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Southern Jaguars vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Bethune-Cookman Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Jackson State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.4%+$13.28
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. South Alabama Jaguarsbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Syracuse Orange vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$5
North Dakota State Bison vs. Omaha Mavericksbacked Omaha Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.29
All 12 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-86%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Solana reach $150 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.7
Will Solana reach $140 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.7
Will Solana reach $130 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$181.85
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will Solana reach $160 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Solana reach $140 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Solana reach $140 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$77.04
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$214.32
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.78
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+150%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.