Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8cd0d4b5cd07ac65c9d76bf70cd4bb8907e5cccd0732539be13c328b70fc501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yastremskaof Yastremska, Maia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maia | 10c | 16,363$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maia | 14c | 2,843$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Maia | 38c | 2,513$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.98 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maia | 4c | 2,238$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yastremska | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Maia | 27c | 1,882$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yastremska | 61c | 1,546$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.54 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Maia | 40c | 1,501$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.38 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maia | 39c | 1,493$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.19 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Maia | 40c | 1,422$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.69 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Maia | 40c | 750.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Maia | 21c | 723.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Maia | 12c | 646.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Yastremska | 58c | 629.71$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Maia | 18c | 552.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maia | 17c | 456.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Maia | 19c | 425.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yastremska | 66c | 412$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Maia | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Maia | 34c | 327.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yastremska | 65c | 325$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yastremska | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yastremska | 63c | 295$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yastremska | 64c | 284$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maia | 9c | 273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Maia | 25c | 258.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Maia | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Maia | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Maia | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Yastremska | 62c | 160.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Maia | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Maia | 40c | 156.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Maia | 37c | 147.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Yastremska | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Maia | 36c | 128.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Maia | 25c | 124.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Maia | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maia | 30c | 120.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…b4f5backed Yastremska | 76c | 118.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maia | 32c | 112.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yastremska | 71c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Yastremska | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Yastremska | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309a…f474backed Maia | 20c | 95.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Maia | 24c | 87.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yastremska | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Maia | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yastremska | 60c | 79.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Maia | 23c | 68.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Maia | 39c | 54.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Maia | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maia | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Yastremska | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yastremska | 62c | 45.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Yastremska | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Yastremska | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yastremska | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…f2b8backed Yastremska | 68c | 34.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Yastremska | 60c | 33.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Yastremska | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Maia | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Yastremska | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Yastremska | 61c | 32.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Yastremska | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yastremska | 76c | 30.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Maia | 42c | 30.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yastremska | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Maia | 41c | 25.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yastremska | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Maia | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yastremska | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Yastremska | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Yastremska | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yastremska | 58c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…8fd5backed Yastremska | 59c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Yastremska | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…9b2ebacked Yastremska | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…8fc1backed Yastremska | 77c | 18.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cea…5013backed Yastremska | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…5e58backed Yastremska | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…c919backed Yastremska | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Beatriz Haddad Maiathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Yastremska vs MaiaYastremska won
- Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Maia (+1.5)Yastremska won
- Yastremska vs. Maia: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Yastremska vs. Maia: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.