TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55cd…8fc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$7.11
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$13.56
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.6
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$26.92
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$44.4
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$15.34
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$72.96
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$6.2
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.41
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.19
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.67
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$41.11
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$33.98
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.4%+$5.69
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Luis Potosi: Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.95
Bucaramanga: Vladyslav Orlov vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.1%+$4.08
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Varvara Grachevabacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$14.33
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Providence Bruinsbacked Providence Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.08
SHL: Malmoe vs. Faerjestadbacked Faerjestad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.19
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.08
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.