CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf28fc0cd23b519e33e749710d67770cae7c5423e7eded23d9a2c6d6c51dd50e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof ex-RUBY, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 72c | 7,772$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.61 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 3,501$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked TDK | 80c | 1,181$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 1,153$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed TDK | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 999.92$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 906.03$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.76 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed ex-RUBY | 32c | 734.31$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.42 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 25c | 675.48$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 654.3$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 31c | 650.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 634.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.97 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TDK | 75c | 565.94$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TDK | 71c | 553.6$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed TDK | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 78c | 486.83$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 392$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed TDK | 71c | 378.67$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.67 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed ex-RUBY | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed TDK | 60c | 331.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed TDK | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 277.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 269.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed ex-RUBY | 9c | 260.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked TDK | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed TDK | 69c | 246.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 196.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…5ad2backed TDK | 77c | 186.58$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed ex-RUBY | 22c | 160.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…2484backed ex-RUBY | 19c | 155.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked TDK | 73c | 146.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed TDK | 70c | 142.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked TDK | 73c | 137.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed TDK | 75c | 128.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ex-RUBY | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 123.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked TDK | 69c | 112.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked ex-RUBY | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ex-RUBY | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ex-RUBY | 15c | 99.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed TDK | 78c | 72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked TDK | 74c | 71.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 67.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 65.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed ex-RUBY | 24c | 62.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked TDK | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed TDK | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked TDK | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed TDK | 76c | 44.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked TDK | 60c | 43.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…040cbacked TDK | 79c | 33.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed TDK | 65c | 29.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked TDK | 73c | 29.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked TDK | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…2570backed TDK | 74c | 25.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed TDK | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…fe0abacked TDK | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.23per pick | 77cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…8fc1backed TDK | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051a…b427backed TDK | 74c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…02b5backed TDK | 62c | 18.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed TDK | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerTDK won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TDK (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)TDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.