World Politics · resolved market
Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3354870a288bf1cea099876ea37ac39f46913db16197ef14404ccb65875fa341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,251 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 42c | 6,648$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.94 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 11c | 5,342$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.74 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 78c | 4,593$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.51 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 29c | 4,427$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.04 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 50c | 2,262$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.8 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 50c | 1,867$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.02 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…291abacked Yes | 67c | 1,780$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…714dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,490$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,340$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.43 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Yes | 55c | 923.37$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 50c | 892.73$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.46 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 62c | 807.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…397ebacked Yes | 65c | 718.41$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…318abacked Yes | 52c | 699.65$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked Yes | 4c | 481.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…7e19backed Yes | 21c | 475$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked No | 58c | 442.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.07 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…780bbacked Yes | 65c | 418.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 8c | 412.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 66c | 402.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 28c | 400$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 52c | 391$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…4390backed Yes | 48c | 350.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…e6e8backed Yes | 45c | 347.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…4291backed Yes | 65c | 334.63$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbc…1d9ebacked No | 44c | 328.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Yes | 19c | 322.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 24c | 314.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 41c | 224.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 54c | 217.51$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked No | 44c | 196.73$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 34c | 194.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 57c | 182.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46fd…b2e7backed Yes | 27c | 180.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…f0e1backed Yes | 32c | 179.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 46c | 174.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…6388backed Yes | 60c | 174.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Yes | 57c | 171.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb867…a870backed No | 40c | 169$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 51c | 153.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…e722backed Yes | 64c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked No | 25c | 140.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.7 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 54c | 134.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3524…812fbacked Yes | 16c | 134.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked No | 31c | 123.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 122.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…b49ebacked Yes | 73c | 116.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…3f91backed Yes | 46c | 113$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f7…f32dbacked Yes | 13c | 111.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…5601backed No | 40c | 103.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…9debbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…1614backed Yes | 30c | 97.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…9645backed Yes | 41c | 97.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed No | 13c | 89.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 40c | 89.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…449cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…22aebacked Yes | 14c | 78.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 74c | 72.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…374ebacked Yes | 47c | 71.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 62c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…6361backed No | 18c | 66.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…0e8dbacked Yes | 49c | 64.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed No | 61c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 52c | 57.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 37c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked No | 54c | 56.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…049bbacked Yes | 54c | 54.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…25b5backed Yes | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9a…cc61backed Yes | 48c | 51.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…7491backed Yes | 50c | 50.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…8384backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…2d3abacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2973…70c3backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…fd0abacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…0eebbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 52c | 49.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…612dbacked Yes | 64c | 46.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…febbbacked No | 29c | 45.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4dd9backed Yes | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…6d3fbacked Yes | 50c | 44.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked No | 49c | 42.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…8743backed Yes | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b6…d3eebacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ce…d437backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb448…f207backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?this page
- Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Denmark Democrats win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Green Left win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Moderates win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.