World Politics · resolved market
Will Green Left win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb15ae7934eac7ee3916efae49bfb74a5418c0e1cf4824a15b5719d6b531bcc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,555 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 11c | 1,598$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 3c | 1,053$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 150 | 22.7%34 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 8c | 913.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 7c | 850$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 8c | 396.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…92f1backed Yes | 3c | 354.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 5c | 353.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 287.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed Yes | 6c | 243.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +331.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 23c | 194.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…0f52backed Yes | 9c | 186.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 22c | 163.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 12c | 136.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 16c | 104.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 11c | 98.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…64b0backed Yes | 18c | 79.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Green Left win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?this page
- Will Danish People’s Party win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Denmark Democrats win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Moderates win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?No won
- Will Venstre win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.