World Politics · resolved market
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32a75e186b061c179f60e57ba35850a763b6839064a6bcea27bd4bb3f7f82f4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ab2…9cfabacked Yes | 41c | 2,948$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fc…88f1backed Yes | 47c | 1,994$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,990$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…7779backed Yes | 1c | 1,694$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 28c | 1,663$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…1e95backed Yes | 39c | 1,608$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…7559backed Yes | 39c | 1,590$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked Yes | 34c | 1,480$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 72c | 1,476$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 34c | 1,439$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…ca15backed Yes | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked No | 66c | 981$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 45c | 978.84$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.22 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 66c | 970$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 66c | 968$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 30c | 953.35$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.15 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…a0cdbacked No | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…55c2backed No | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…b0dbbacked No | 61c | 819$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…6276backed Yes | 50c | 802.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…5eeebacked Yes | 45c | 713.35$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…a0f0backed No | 61c | 707$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a6e4backed Yes | 71c | 704.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 44c | 610.21$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.15 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 59c | 549.62$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.11 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed No | 42c | 547$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +218.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed No | 42c | 538$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +186%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…47a3backed Yes | 68c | 511.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed No | 39c | 503.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.97 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…3b8dbacked Yes | 40c | 501.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked No | 43c | 497$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 47c | 469.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.9 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 32c | 462.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 60c | 454.75$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Yes | 57c | 407$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 72c | 400$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 60c | 399.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Yes | 48c | 378.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…e065backed Yes | 58c | 376$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 37c | 363.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.66 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5afdbacked Yes | 58c | 358$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 43c | 357$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Yes | 58c | 351$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed75…3c46backed Yes | 37c | 332.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 34c | 331.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 43c | 327$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 42c | 324.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.37 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 39c | 286.95$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 57c | 277$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Yes | 74c | 269.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…624fbacked Yes | 38c | 260.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 57c | 254$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 57c | 243$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…0dfabacked Yes | 45c | 220.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…21f2backed Yes | 46c | 218.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 48c | 207.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 55c | 193.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 30c | 188$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 72c | 187$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…221abacked Yes | 37c | 184.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 183.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 57c | 177$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Yes | 62c | 171.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 36c | 163.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 38c | 159.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…6000backed Yes | 72c | 158.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…c919backed Yes | 68c | 150.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed No | 34c | 149.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 42c | 145.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…aa41backed Yes | 72c | 138.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 58c | 137.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…d2babacked Yes | 38c | 131.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…a2a1backed Yes | 39c | 127.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…5e77backed Yes | 38c | 125.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 45c | 120.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…c1cfbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…5385backed Yes | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 58c | 95.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked No | 28c | 95.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 40c | 93.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 35c | 93.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d8…156dbacked Yes | 41c | 85.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…d753backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…e8e6backed Yes | 43c | 76.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cd…9ccdbacked Yes | 67c | 74.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…8fc1backed Yes | 69c | 73.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1648…a676backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 38c | 69.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 56c | 67.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…560ebacked Yes | 38c | 66.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Yes | 69c | 62.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 55c | 59.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 36c | 50.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…7c9abacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…41afbacked Yes | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?this page
- Will Isaline Cornil be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Jean-Michel Ghiotto be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?Yes won
- Will Magali Brunel be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Michel Bonnus be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.