World Politics · resolved market
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2a2ad9c56765dd49d35236c89218ce41660fc1b4df012b81faa216e6d586a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,140$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.45 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…ad38backed No | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…3ef0backed Yes | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…5f32backed No | 39c | 1,574$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…b19ebacked No | 39c | 1,569$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 74c | 1,323$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 31c | 1,298$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 74c | 1,244$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked No | 73c | 1,103$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 29c | 947.47$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.86 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 26c | 873$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 26c | 862$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.88 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked Yes | 26c | 832$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…707fbacked Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…b4d4backed Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…f165backed Yes | 61c | 820$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…961abacked Yes | 61c | 819$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…ef4cbacked Yes | 61c | 819$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 69c | 801$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 29c | 785.42$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.74 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b3…4dcbbacked Yes | 63c | 781.74$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 31c | 774$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…80b9backed Yes | 61c | 666$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 57c | 614.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Yes | 52c | 599.93$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 69c | 544$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…106cbacked Yes | 57c | 498.75$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…4421backed Yes | 65c | 458.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 30c | 438.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.66 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 38c | 433.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.09 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 46c | 430.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 68c | 425$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Yes | 26c | 409.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 45c | 391.66$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…374ebacked Yes | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 27c | 376$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 27c | 368$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 59c | 364.23$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.3 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked Yes | 27c | 359$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 62c | 345.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes | 32c | 321$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 58c | 310.95$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 32c | 309$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e189backed Yes | 71c | 281.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 278.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 46c | 267.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 69c | 258$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed No | 69c | 253$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes | 31c | 253$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 62c | 244$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 69c | 237$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd664…d207backed Yes | 58c | 233.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed No | 69c | 232$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 210$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 46c | 207.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 68c | 205$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 40c | 187.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 27c | 181.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…61bbbacked Yes | 57c | 174.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…ea78backed Yes | 58c | 172.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes | 59c | 168.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 61c | 162.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…6c75backed No | 65c | 152.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e36…70e3backed Yes | 66c | 152.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…90c3backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 54c | 142.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 62c | 141.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 34c | 140$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 59c | 118$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…d246backed Yes | 65c | 115.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…120cbacked Yes | 67c | 109$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 44c | 102.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e036backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…9063backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 39c | 98.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…221abacked No | 41c | 93.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…b445backed Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…cb87backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 89.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 65c | 79.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…fb1cbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Yes | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a23…64d1backed Yes | 76c | 67.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 80c | 63.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…6388backed Yes | 64c | 63.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…4b66backed Yes | 65c | 60.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…7c9abacked Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…6000backed Yes | 60c | 58.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7e…6a14backed Yes | 59c | 55.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 40c | 54.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…4c8abacked Yes | 67c | 54.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Yes | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6968backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b8…413cbacked Yes | 41c | 52.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…6d17backed No | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb55…3eb2backed Yes | 55c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…234ebacked Yes | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?this page
- Will Isaline Cornil be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Jean-Michel Ghiotto be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Magali Brunel be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
- Will Michel Bonnus be the next mayor of Toulon?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.