TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b90…1d17

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
364
Categories scored
41
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 32.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3525.7%9 W · 26 L-9.8wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Middle East — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.13
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84%+$274
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$356.99
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$106
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.26
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.47
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,832.48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$738.86
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$309.39
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$278
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$291.17
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$158.26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$206
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$192
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$193.8
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$285.3
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$122.91
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$264.51
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$81
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$92.72
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$39.92
Will Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$41.6
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$18.4
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.6
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+25.1%+$22.1
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$158.6
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+57.9%+$33
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+181.7%+$64.5
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.88
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$37
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$54.78
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$48
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Bulls vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Raptors vs. Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
76ers vs. Mavericksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$12
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.1%+$49.86
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$72.01
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$18
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.61
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.6%+$12.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40.43
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+405.8%+$208.6
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$32.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+25.5%+$30.5
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81%+$17.9
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$261.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.8
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.2
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$95.75
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.49
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$464.68
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$102.75
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.2%+$94.39
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.4%+$62.75
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+62.2%+$130.89
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3.89
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+376.2%+$55.3
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.03
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$42.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.4%+$136.66
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$33
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+36.3%+$111.8
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.74
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+80.2%+$41.69
Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$59.2
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.09
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+36.1%+$7.23
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights backed Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.5
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Senators vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Stars vs. Blackhawksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Sabres vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.4
Ducks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+546.7%+$88.21
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$29.4
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+311.5%+$75.7
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.27
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
Will the 49ers win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Kevin Stefanski be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15.67
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25.8%+$47.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$145.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+148.7%+$59.79
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+44.7%+$30.9
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.2
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$24.91
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$54.15
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$40.42
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.6
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.9%+$26.74
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$47.74
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$912Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.21
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$828.65
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+48.6%+$43.42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.3%+$49.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+37%+$18.42
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.2
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$45
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.3%+$250.03
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$26.39
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.6
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+37.5%+$4.91
Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+203%+$26.79
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59.3
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.46
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.75
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.45
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.93
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+101.3%+$42.19
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+43.9%+$6.1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$8
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.08
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128.01
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.4%+$14.8
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+121.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+394.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+394.4%+$41.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+125.5%+$194.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.9%+$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$56.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.