NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fff3a69201b5e95cfe99b5ab52af2e103917105dda9778b52326df2826b0a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Stars, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $950,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $958,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $950,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Wild | 45c | 444,739$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244,739.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Stars | 55c | 200,000$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 55c | 126,279$69,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,285.82 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Wild | 44c | 112,216$49,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,452.04 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Stars | 56c | 100,009$56,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,004.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Stars | 56c | 89,047$49,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,742.17 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wild | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Stars | 55c | 40,334$22,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,183.64 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 55c | 17,240$9,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,482.16 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 44c | 14,806$6,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,287.67 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 59c | 12,275$7,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.48 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 56c | 11,551$6,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,503.51 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wild | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Stars | 55c | 9,884$5,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,436.39 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wild | 44c | 7,563$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.28 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Stars | 72c | 7,051$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 35c | 6,472$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Stars | 56c | 6,255$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.78 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 56c | 6,016$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.33 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Wild | 33c | 5,914$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.31 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Wild | 47c | 5,498$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.21 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Wild | 43c | 5,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Stars | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 44c | 4,995$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 55c | 4,766$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Stars | 55c | 4,555$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.07 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Wild | 44c | 4,445$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.62 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Stars | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Wild | 49c | 4,080$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.92 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 43c | 4,015$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.98 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Wild | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Stars | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.95 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wild | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 44c | 3,899$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.2 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 72c | 3,850$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.75 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…edb5backed Wild | 44c | 3,700$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…8198backed Stars | 56c | 3,690$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 44c | 3,679$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.01 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Stars | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Stars | 56c | 3,353$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.44 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…4188backed Stars | 56c | 3,317$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 56c | 2,750$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.49 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Stars | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Stars | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 40c | 2,410$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.25 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Stars | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wild | 45c | 2,097$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.97 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 44c | 2,081$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.25 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Stars | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.01 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Stars | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Stars | 55c | 1,906$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.26 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Wild | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc557…6496backed Stars | 48c | 1,800$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Stars | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Stars | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 56c | 1,734$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.93 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 59c | 1,609$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.02 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…6254backed Stars | 56c | 1,600$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 55c | 1,581$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.29 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Wild | 45c | 1,569$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.89 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stars | 12c | 1,501$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Wild | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Stars | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Stars | 68c | 1,402$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.39 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Stars | 31c | 1,305$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.13 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 56c | 1,246$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 44c | 1,203$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.33 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Stars | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Wild | 44c | 1,183$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.63 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 56c | 1,152$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.04 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Stars | 56c | 1,100$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 55c | 1,081$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.55 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Stars | 52c | 1,055$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.55 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Stars | 56c | 1,050$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.03 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 56c | 1,050$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.95 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Stars | 1c | 1,006$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stars | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Stars | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Wild | 44c | 999.98$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 56c | 961.4$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.69 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Wild | 46c | 916.3$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Stars | 58c | 868.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Stars | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wild | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…80dabacked Stars | 56c | 796.13$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Stars | 57c | 698.25$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Stars | 46c | 645.06$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 53c | 610.9$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Wild | 44c | 604.55$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wild | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Wild | 43c | 583$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Wild | 44c | 555$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wildthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.