NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab6f49d12bedf14f2f4bb91f0d9776ec563826c143868d5d654a4e5050a41678
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 57,990$27,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,776.14 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 32,000$16,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,360.18 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 5,843$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 5,768$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.64 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 5,180$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.78 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 52c | 3,938$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.24 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 3,887$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.6 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 2,852$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.19 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,725$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.92 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,600$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.97 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 49c | 1,314$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.31 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 759$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 678$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.73 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Over | 50c | 621.43$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.72 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 52c | 577.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 51c | 576$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 51c | 486.54$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 286.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac8…bca4backed Over | 52c | 192.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Under | 48c | 181.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 128.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 52c | 115$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 69c | 112$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 107.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 50c | 106.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 51c | 86.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 48c | 56.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 53c | 29.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 52c | 28.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Over | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 48c | 25.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…9f6dbacked Over | 52c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 190 | 46.8%89 W · 101 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Under | 54c | 21.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Wild won
- Stars vs. WildWild won
- Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.