Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a189c84842589371a974fcf7ce889425c9edde8e11263750df1bb59620991d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3910…ba74backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 45c | 28,861$12,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,933.99 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 79c | 13,938$11,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…3309backed No | 0c | 13,840$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed No | 13c | 12,708$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 61c | 8,200$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 50c | 6,981$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 34cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 58c | 5,542$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba72…21aabacked No | 17c | 4,290$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 63c | 3,440$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.53 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 80c | 3,278$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.54 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 65c | 3,078$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.8 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…ba88backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 1,801$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.9 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.54 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,004$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.02 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…3535backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…8d70backed No | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9c71backed Yes | 62c | 811.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 55c | 607.09$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 79c | 604.48$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 73c | 567.78$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.14 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 18c | 491.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed Yes | 45c | 478.01$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 26c | 422.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…6aa3backed Yes | 77c | 397.4$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…46c8backed Yes | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb33…2dcebacked Yes | 51c | 375.61$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…d199backed Yes | 56c | 357.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 37c | 320.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…f293backed Yes | 72c | 308.53$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…6577backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 74c | 296.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9de3backed Yes | 51c | 293.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 60c | 271.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…4a20backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 78c | 232.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…98aebacked Yes | 74c | 230$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0e…2e7cbacked No | 22c | 226$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…2709backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…9aafbacked Yes | 68c | 219.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +6.1wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 24c | 217.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 46c | 203.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 64c | 200.5$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…6c64backed Yes | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…9a26backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…5b1ebacked No | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a64…6467backed Yes | 79c | 171.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed No | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…dfdcbacked Yes | 55c | 162.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…e17cbacked No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…f512backed Yes | 61c | 150.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 66c | 150.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…3b19backed Yes | 52c | 115.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed No | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7c44backed Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…ef37backed Yes | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…bdffbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…7ce7backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…365bbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +458%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ca…7ce5backed Yes | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…15a0backed Yes | 74c | 98.73$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +247%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.30per pick | 24cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…d205backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…e808backed No | 15c | 84.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b4…6f14backed Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…6965backed No | 20c | 81.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…18c7backed No | 14c | 81.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…d8c1backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…d33fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…8a1fbacked Yes | 57c | 68.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…b634backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…b6d3backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…d39ebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…8e94backed No | 19c | 59.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.