Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d84f4578545f4c2fafbe790e28c7ef6bfd715934fec2dd4abb747fb876e46e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 58c | 27,070$15,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,354.17 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 67c | 24,946$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.75 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 13c | 24,431$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,131.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 61c | 22,179$13,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,491.01 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 19c | 12,578$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,207.33 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed Yes | 56c | 11,957$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,293.16 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 23c | 10,835$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,334.63 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 5c | 10,156$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…1e52backed No | 0c | 10,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 71c | 10,088$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.56 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 71c | 9,863$7,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020.91 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 65c | 9,725$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 21c | 8,615$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,838.21 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 34c | 8,500$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…db7abacked No | 10c | 8,349$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 13c | 7,340$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdf…56c9backed Yes | 31c | 6,491$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.73 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 9c | 5,264$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.88 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 76c | 5,030$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 14c | 5,011$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 19c | 4,500$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 54c | 4,457$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4a…9de3backed Yes | 50c | 4,389$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 22c | 3,659$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 34cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 4c | 3,647$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked No | 50c | 3,367$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 22c | 3,300$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 41c | 3,275$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.31 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…2e9abacked No | 16c | 3,239$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,136$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.17 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…cc22backed Yes | 27c | 2,972$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…c5b7backed No | 26c | 2,773$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +215.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 51c | 2,506$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.22 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked No | 70c | 2,348$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 15c | 2,292$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 28c | 2,150$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…fca3backed Yes | 49c | 2,045$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +238.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…f6b8backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…b5c4backed Yes | 21c | 1,993$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…2d49backed Yes | 22c | 1,832$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +358%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked No | 23c | 1,796$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…1060backed No | 6c | 1,490$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 26c | 1,418$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.32 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 23c | 1,400$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked No | 31c | 1,350$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…f886backed Yes | 23c | 1,348$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 25cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 40c | 1,325$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.31 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,296$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.1 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…42e9backed No | 46c | 1,273$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…865dbacked No | 78c | 1,247$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 52c | 1,225$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.32 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,191$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.71 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No | 50c | 1,100$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.96 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ff…0849backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked No | 45c | 1,011$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…5885backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 30c | 999.69$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…3682backed Yes | 31c | 945.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed No | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 12c | 906.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.44 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…61bbbacked Yes | 14c | 847.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 7cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 24c | 832.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…35f0backed Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed No | 70c | 793.86$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.64 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 76c | 791.94$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.22 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 28c | 764.47$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.67 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 19c | 734.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.56 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…feb7backed Yes | 72c | 689.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…2eddbacked Yes | 28c | 683$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…abe7backed Yes | 30c | 679.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…1d11backed Yes | 28c | 678.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 49c | 673.7$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…a56ebacked Yes | 45c | 659$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 22c | 654.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.52 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 33c | 603.03$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.03 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 33c | 603.03$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.03 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed Yes | 32c | 600$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 78c | 586.75$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 30c | 576.92$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…312ebacked Yes | 27c | 573.07$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 19c | 530$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 20c | 507$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 21c | 471.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +633.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 56c | 471.22$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.22 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…7ce7backed Yes | 24c | 462.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed Yes | 25c | 433.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 423.91$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed69…f3eabacked Yes | 24c | 419.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 22c | 400$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.