Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd924356186a05cd2fad161a174ea2f9a5958434bc7cacaa2089a6764c203d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,314,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,069,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,314,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 5c | 95,781$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.88 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3f4backed Yes | 1c | 48,274$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 6c | 45,500$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.99 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 2c | 42,940$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…d2a3backed Yes | 0c | 42,620$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.91 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…07c0backed Yes | 12c | 37,334$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 37,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…8bcbbacked Yes | 6c | 32,264$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…4af0backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…9869backed Yes | 1c | 29,458$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Yes | 2c | 28,183$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 10c | 27,810$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.93 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes | 3c | 27,399$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.31 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ed…c73abacked Yes | 16c | 27,102$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 0c | 26,588$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 5c | 23,085$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.22 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 13c | 23,081$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…3480backed Yes | 21c | 22,969$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 1c | 19,202$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…e4b3backed Yes | 15c | 18,877$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…3160backed Yes | 13c | 18,282$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed No | 79c | 17,747$13,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 29c | 17,300$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,017 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…63d5backed Yes | 3c | 17,029$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 16,316$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…e875backed Yes | 2c | 15,762$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…1060backed Yes | 8c | 15,247$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 14,755$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.45 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 7c | 14,600$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.87 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes | 1c | 13,511$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 71c | 12,696$9,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.91 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 28c | 12,647$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 2c | 12,535$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…dfdcbacked Yes | 21c | 12,352$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…a4abbacked Yes | 3c | 12,213$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…2184backed Yes | 7c | 12,095$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 12c | 11,856$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 71c | 11,794$8,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.12 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked Yes | 18c | 11,430$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…7be2backed Yes | 2c | 11,145$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 3c | 11,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…77c7backed Yes | 2c | 10,373$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.96 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…0d11backed Yes | 2c | 10,287$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b09…1e52backed Yes | 12c | 10,001$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 9,602$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 12c | 9,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 6c | 8,960$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.93 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310e…d336backed Yes | 10c | 8,734$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 8,560$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 5c | 8,206$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.54 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…d6edbacked Yes | 31c | 8,065$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 9c | 7,966$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.98 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6257…32cabacked Yes | 3c | 7,742$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes | 5c | 7,621$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 7,024$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.77 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 9c | 7,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 6,983$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…070fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,214$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 7c | 6,017$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.94 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 2c | 6,015$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 17c | 6,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…2759backed Yes | 3c | 5,919$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 4c | 5,765$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 26c | 5,654$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.79 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 4c | 5,202$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…8bbcbacked Yes | 14c | 5,112$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…b816backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…2927backed Yes | 2c | 4,939$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…5c96backed Yes | 1c | 4,900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,819$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 37c | 4,817$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…d582backed Yes | 2c | 4,469$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 33c | 4,402$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.41 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,399$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.61 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 4,349$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…28d9backed Yes | 12c | 4,263$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7cccbacked Yes | 25c | 4,110$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 20c | 3,894$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 5c | 3,890$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.61 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…ea35backed Yes | 10c | 3,836$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 3,815$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…a641backed Yes | 4c | 3,799$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d45…abb5backed Yes | 2c | 3,792$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed Yes | 12c | 3,785$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…ae86backed Yes | 3c | 3,636$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…e626backed Yes | 2c | 3,612$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,492$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 3,387$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.45 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 70c | 3,313$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.13 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…1f41backed Yes | 8c | 3,225$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.43 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 3,170$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…b265backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…bc8cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,956$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb4…9776backed Yes | 11c | 2,856$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…a13abacked Yes | 4c | 2,836$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed Yes | 10c | 2,803$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,744$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.