Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ec7771c6c7aa4403d05975c0c042f43c338a9fd9a2ddaf53b0fb856b44b6b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $746,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $831,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 47c | 59,880$27,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,958.68 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 64c | 36,251$23,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,360.53 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 5c | 35,589$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.43 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 52c | 13,899$7,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.05 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 40c | 13,067$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 42c | 12,143$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,052.96 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 34c | 10,024$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.58 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…7a4cbacked No | 12c | 9,541$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.55 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 52c | 9,049$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.33 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa78a…2f5cbacked Yes | 37c | 7,618$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 34cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 59c | 6,226$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.36 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 6,084$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.9 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…f6b8backed Yes | 79c | 4,776$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…9c71backed Yes | 37c | 4,546$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed No | 21c | 4,505$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…f85abacked No | 2c | 4,412$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 39c | 4,376$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.75 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…ac35backed No | 37c | 4,062$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Yes | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 3c | 4,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fa61backed No | 25c | 3,909$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…db3ebacked Yes | 75c | 3,900$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…2587backed Yes | 72c | 3,871$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 50c | 3,842$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.6 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…b8dfbacked Yes | 75c | 3,722$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 32c | 3,654$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.05 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…e0b3backed Yes | 76c | 3,647$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 56c | 3,588$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.6 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Yes | 75c | 3,425$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 52c | 3,253$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked No | 10c | 3,140$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 49c | 2,886$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.56 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 42c | 2,811$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.19 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ca05backed No | 32c | 2,745$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.74 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…4bf3backed Yes | 41c | 2,632$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.39 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed No | 32c | 2,563$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed No | 12c | 2,500$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.64 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…81dfbacked Yes | 70c | 2,400$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 51c | 2,100$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.52per pick | 25cpaid | +743.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…ef7dbacked Yes | 78c | 2,063$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1bd5backed Yes | 54c | 2,008$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,972$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.71 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed Yes | 75c | 1,971$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.33 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…1ebebacked Yes | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,892$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…3682backed Yes | 63c | 1,867$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 63c | 1,851$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.3 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 73c | 1,785$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 65c | 1,738$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…992bbacked No | 17c | 1,716$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 27c | 1,700$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,594$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.12 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…838bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,553$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 10c | 1,538$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed Yes | 50c | 1,526$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…2530backed Yes | 44c | 1,500$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 30c | 1,500$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…8bbcbacked No | 26c | 1,495$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 41c | 1,400$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Yes | 60c | 1,351$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 59c | 1,202$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.65 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 62c | 1,186$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.14 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed Yes | 73c | 1,150$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 37c | 1,122$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…a106backed Yes | 43c | 1,112$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Yes | 74c | 1,100$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 48c | 1,087$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.15 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 45c | 1,062$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…f293backed Yes | 52c | 1,037$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b62…daccbacked Yes | 74c | 1,033$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…8613backed Yes | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…990bbacked No | 35c | 1,010$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 51c | 1,006$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 65c | 999.95$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20db…f886backed Yes | 30c | 996.97$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 25cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 49c | 965$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 8c | 945.04$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…e36cbacked No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 62c | 900$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…f178backed Yes | 51c | 873.75$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 39c | 873.03$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed Yes | 62c | 804.49$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 14c | 727$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f58dbacked Yes | 39c | 721.62$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…d316backed Yes | 14c | 720$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…01ccbacked No | 41c | 713.45$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.73 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 43c | 705$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…71afbacked No | 45c | 700$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 58c | 691.75$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.28 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in February?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in February?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.