TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x131a…73f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$322.35
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+98%+$156.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,098Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$1,185.32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51%+$2,091.84
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,861Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$2,989.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,733.31
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$26.28
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,201
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.86
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,101
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$751
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,250
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,513Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,591.72
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$141.56
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$83.33
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$259.7
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$891.63
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$390
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.43
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$122.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$224.1
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$910.08
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$111.11
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$295.66
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$230.16
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+153.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.11
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.6%+$620.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+65.4%+$534.19
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$42.31
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Solana reach $220 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$279.76
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+525%+$69.02
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$78.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
Will Solana reach $240 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+134.2%+$67.1
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 October 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$58.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $114,000 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$664.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Will Bitcoin dip to $120,000 October 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
All 22 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+112.1%+$560.48
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,825.36
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+166.7%+$1,750.37
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+235.3%+$188.22
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$530
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Immigrant" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick14cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick21cpaid+241%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$236.6
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$319.32
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$333.87
Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.5%+$319.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.