Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d23ae7e73f832a4da03dc4ee5c2692119cbecd97f8d47776fb5a80c2e4ce62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,463,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,596,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,463,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 47c | 210,449$97,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,467.25 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…f1eabacked No | 41c | 118,953$48,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,202.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 48c | 110,604$52,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,827.55 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 38c | 69,726$26,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,447.02 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 67c | 56,999$38,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,679.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…f135backed Yes | 39c | 47,916$18,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,215.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 55c | 47,881$26,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,399.73 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 54c | 45,284$24,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,659.14 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3139…0c17backed Yes | 25c | 36,856$9,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,522.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 24cpaid | +220.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 27c | 31,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,719.97 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 40c | 29,510$11,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,752.42 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 43c | 29,471$12,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,867.94 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…2a28backed No | 57c | 27,364$15,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,534.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 72c | 26,668$19,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,260.11 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Yes | 43c | 25,899$11,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,850.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked Yes | 45c | 23,581$10,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,970.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 59c | 23,395$13,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,773.12 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…65a5backed Yes | 51c | 22,157$11,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,757.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…3f35backed Yes | 47c | 21,224$10,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,172.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d6cebacked No | 49c | 20,330$9,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,872.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…de59backed Yes | 17c | 19,706$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,405.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +372.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 46c | 19,284$8,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,373.94 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 62c | 16,688$10,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,406.62 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…eeaabacked No | 60c | 16,679$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 54c | 16,013$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,437 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…fa31backed Yes | 40c | 15,832$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,532.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed No | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…007cbacked Yes | 64c | 14,700$9,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,288 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 49c | 13,955$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,059.46 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…fbe8backed No | 63c | 12,421$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 27c | 12,420$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.93 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 72c | 12,107$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,710.34 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…f7d6backed Yes | 36c | 11,764$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…f0e0backed Yes | 21c | 11,648$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 35c | 11,388$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.46 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 67c | 10,920$7,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.4 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…19d8backed Yes | 47c | 10,775$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 29c | 10,466$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,467.03 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed No | 66c | 10,254$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…c86cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…de18backed No | 71c | 9,998$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,148.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 40c | 9,096$3,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.05 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf714…74d6backed No | 63c | 8,557$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,398 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 56c | 8,430$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 12c | 8,325$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.71 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 44c | 8,300$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.49 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…8d0cbacked Yes | 64c | 8,200$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…a2febacked No | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yes | 64c | 7,700$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 54c | 7,677$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.49 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 30c | 7,552$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.47 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b2…17e4backed No | 69c | 7,000$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 50c | 6,782$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.55 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…3eb0backed Yes | 62c | 6,481$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 36c | 5,688$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.19 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 45c | 5,657$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.22 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 45c | 5,584$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.99 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa138…a55fbacked Yes | 25c | 5,542$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 21c | 5,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,350.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +110%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 53c | 5,010$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.82 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed Yes | 65c | 5,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…8befbacked Yes | 54c | 4,945$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,252.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed Yes | 45c | 4,500$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…29cbbacked No | 38c | 4,344$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 24c | 4,300$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.78 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 12c | 4,200$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…edf0backed Yes | 33c | 4,131$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.14 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked No | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…d6b9backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 47c | 3,965$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 48c | 3,900$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.38 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…975dbacked No | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…e1f3backed Yes | 34c | 3,674$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 37c | 3,528$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c38fbacked Yes | 63c | 3,422$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…b353backed No | 74c | 3,420$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,366$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…3310backed Yes | 40c | 3,321$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 52c | 3,291$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.67 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 41c | 3,100$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.26 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 43c | 2,978$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.23 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked No | 52c | 2,876$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.67 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…2735backed No | 55c | 2,867$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 17c | 2,721$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…4d0ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,700$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ca…88e4backed Yes | 38c | 2,694$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 47c | 2,681$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.39 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…eb33backed Yes | 42c | 2,677$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.