Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e348ea492ffdceb505d1b51828c2a9e5e9f90f31692dc2c59c2ff75cdf32b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,216,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,328,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,216,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 86,611$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.22 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 2c | 35,000$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.05 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 34,549$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 26,674$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 25,735$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 1c | 24,189$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…0a00backed Yes | 3c | 23,000$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 16,385$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…8610backed Yes | 1c | 16,193$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 13,509$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 1c | 13,469$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 13,291$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Yes | 4c | 13,051$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 2.4%2 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 13,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.51 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…508dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,707$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…8b5ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…3345backed Yes | 3c | 7,195$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…9e5fbacked Yes | 1c | 7,050$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…55cabacked Yes | 1c | 6,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 3c | 6,584$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9485…0cd0backed Yes | 1c | 6,529$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,334$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Yes | 2c | 6,288$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +160.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…cd66backed Yes | 3c | 5,860$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…87e2backed Yes | 3c | 5,724$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…c08dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,646$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…f32ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 4,475$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…21d8backed Yes | 1c | 4,255$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,525$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30c…14febacked Yes | 3c | 3,472$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…b6a5backed Yes | 3c | 3,299$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…6a60backed Yes | 3c | 3,105$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -76%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…f4ebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,972$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…e336backed Yes | 3c | 2,957$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…4513backed Yes | 3c | 2,942$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fc…5f16backed Yes | 0c | 2,857$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…3133backed Yes | 4c | 2,832$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…d6b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,815$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…1d21backed Yes | 4c | 2,559$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 1c | 2,512$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…22a1backed Yes | 3c | 2,483$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…5449backed Yes | 2c | 2,132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…a52dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,894$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…959cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,830$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…4825backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 2c | 1,722$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,718$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 1c | 1,683$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…cf93backed Yes | 3c | 1,620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,610$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,537$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…7c94backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…9eb0backed Yes | 1c | 1,441$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…0614backed Yes | 1c | 1,336$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…18c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…f6f3backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 2c | 1,233$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…be7cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,070$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,019$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…6ffbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…d787backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…1c08backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 1c | 999.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…f044backed Yes | 2c | 999.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa316…3a38backed Yes | 3c | 831.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…d709backed Yes | 3c | 683.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…a739backed Yes | 3c | 665.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…275bbacked Yes | 2c | 623.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…bf31backed Yes | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86b…f53dbacked Yes | 3c | 598.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…b27dbacked Yes | 3c | 591.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…4df4backed Yes | 2c | 580.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…33dbbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…d2e7backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8042…82a7backed Yes | 3c | 482.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…c3abbacked Yes | 3c | 479.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…0186backed Yes | 4c | 450.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d7b9backed Yes | 3c | 410$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…618cbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…8b0bbacked Yes | 3c | 391.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4d…9546backed Yes | 3c | 390$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…2bcebacked Yes | 3c | 383.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…5e6abacked Yes | 3c | 349.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…1567backed Yes | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…ce73backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…04d3backed Yes | 3c | 310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.