Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x993abfacc936951426dc636b44fde63be24dc2c59f2b5f878a6a2cd0412f8570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,748,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,456,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,748,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 457 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1005…a843backed Yes | 27c | 135,448$36,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,109.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…ed5fbacked Yes | 9c | 128,034$11,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,274.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 76,106$8,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,441.17 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 14c | 71,933$9,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,908.32 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 12c | 64,427$7,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,594.5 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 14c | 43,615$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.95 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 43,463$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 41,238$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.79 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 3c | 35,492$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.89 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 7c | 32,914$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…c38cbacked No | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 29,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 5c | 20,015$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.74 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb229…7298backed Yes | 35c | 19,363$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 16,078$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…9fe2backed Yes | 6c | 16,000$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…9571backed Yes | 7c | 15,867$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 79c | 15,748$12,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.03 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…6c9dbacked Yes | 2c | 15,659$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 2c | 15,652$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.58 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 14,518$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 14c | 12,815$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.45 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 13c | 12,760$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.21 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Yes | 8c | 12,578$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 12,113$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.9 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…2314backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 17c | 11,811$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.41 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…bf17backed Yes | 0c | 11,210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…d609backed No | 79c | 11,003$8,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Yes | 4c | 10,995$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.88 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…a979backed Yes | 3c | 10,822$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…1dc2backed Yes | 37c | 10,704$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 10,510$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.27 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…8cd5backed Yes | 1c | 10,160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 8c | 10,040$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.08 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 18c | 9,585$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.18 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 6c | 9,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…7ebfbacked Yes | 7c | 8,881$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 19c | 8,016$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.28 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Yes | 4c | 7,910$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…c734backed Yes | 7c | 7,790$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.78 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…29fcbacked No | 79c | 7,617$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…0a73backed Yes | 3c | 7,570$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…708cbacked Yes | 12c | 7,252$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…9238backed No | 69c | 7,003$4,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 8c | 7,000$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…476bbacked Yes | 2c | 6,810$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 6c | 6,702$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.76 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4938…ce0cbacked No | 79c | 6,678$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Yes | 31c | 6,357$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.69 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe47…3e2fbacked Yes | 4c | 6,108$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…5cf4backed Yes | 8c | 5,893$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 8c | 5,885$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 72c | 5,849$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.89 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 12c | 5,845$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8317…f2f3backed Yes | 6c | 5,710$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 11c | 5,509$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.28 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb200…691dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,490$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 66c | 5,200$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…f1e6backed Yes | 1c | 5,196$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,039$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…b902backed Yes | 1c | 4,787$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3236backed Yes | 2c | 4,738$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,601$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,334$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,291$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…7a0ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,260$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295b…2e44backed Yes | 8c | 4,151$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 4,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…21a0backed Yes | 2c | 3,999$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 77c | 3,955$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.06 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,742$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 3c | 3,675$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b0…0908backed Yes | 8c | 3,571$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…a50fbacked Yes | 17c | 3,528$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 5c | 3,439$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2af…412ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,409$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked Yes | 3c | 3,379$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…0eebbacked Yes | 18c | 3,288$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes | 2c | 3,187$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 4c | 3,181$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 36c | 3,134$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…1245backed Yes | 7c | 3,100$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 20c | 2,850$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes | 18c | 2,839$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.36 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…f4ebbacked Yes | 3c | 2,830$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,733$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.38 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…d18dbacked Yes | 13c | 2,731$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…38acbacked Yes | 7c | 2,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b3…6486backed Yes | 19c | 2,675$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 8c | 2,653$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…9e4ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,630$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 2,444$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.01 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…f826backed Yes | 25c | 2,415$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.