Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f6cfe7dcbc9433460702a3597a581ba93113ef4ddbe8af51f8106e4650c011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,055,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,089,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,055,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Yes | 8c | 195,000$16,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,259.9 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 3c | 143,710$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 2c | 65,683$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.82 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 52,943$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.37 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 46,352$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 4c | 43,126$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 42,258$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.16 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…7017backed Yes | 9c | 32,401$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 27,485$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.51 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,100$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 18,850$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.56 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 17,733$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 6c | 16,077$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 6c | 15,211$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…0a00backed Yes | 5c | 15,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…dfeabacked Yes | 7c | 14,990$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…0b1abacked Yes | 4c | 14,614$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…137bbacked Yes | 10c | 13,676$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 2c | 12,810$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…c08dbacked Yes | 5c | 11,439$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…a415backed Yes | 1c | 11,412$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,484$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1363…a917backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 2c | 9,100$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…7889backed Yes | 5c | 8,880$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…b918backed Yes | 4c | 8,333$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 4c | 8,253$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.54 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 7c | 7,999$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.89 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 11c | 7,917$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.87 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 5c | 7,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 6c | 7,341$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 14c | 7,297$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 6c | 7,195$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.76 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…6389backed Yes | 4c | 7,149$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 3c | 7,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…6f38backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bc…543ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,590$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa2…b94fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,499$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bc0backed Yes | 2c | 6,070$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2737…8610backed Yes | 6c | 6,023$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…efe0backed Yes | 4c | 5,544$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…6187backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 3c | 4,778$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…97a5backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,442$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.94 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…8bf7backed Yes | 10c | 4,370$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…da4fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,398$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…3345backed Yes | 11c | 3,182$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…959cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,818$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4757…63cbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,751$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 4c | 2,661$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…3802backed Yes | 6c | 2,513$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…26a6backed Yes | 7c | 2,502$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…dcd1backed Yes | 14c | 2,500$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,473$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…33e1backed Yes | 3c | 2,413$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 4c | 2,407$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…4ed0backed Yes | 3c | 2,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,282$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f66…a587backed Yes | 9c | 2,187$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5001…49c3backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,140$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…7fa1backed Yes | 7c | 2,120$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 4c | 2,065$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…c0a9backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…994fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,958$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce7…dc6fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,903$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea1…50dbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,893$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…19acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…d6b9backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…92acbacked Yes | 5c | 1,647$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…910abacked Yes | 6c | 1,633$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,609$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,555$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e15…ee86backed Yes | 4c | 1,527$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…f2bbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,430$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 4c | 1,400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…0bd0backed Yes | 3c | 1,264$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 5c | 1,115$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…d70ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…e93fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3867…ae73backed Yes | 5c | 1,044$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…e4e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,025$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…81c0backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…f5bfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d3…475ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…f044backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -96.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 5c | 999.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $145,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.