Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d06e6619745e26a500f5e3141a8a86c871cf599b20b4ca04f8357a97e57048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof Aurora, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $371,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 34c | 38,926$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed BoomBoys | 65c | 36,116$23,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,581.4 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora | 58c | 31,434$18,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,197.82 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed BoomBoys | 65c | 30,207$19,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,572.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Aurora | 35c | 27,125$9,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,454.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked BoomBoys | 40c | 24,161$9,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,396.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 56c | 17,522$9,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.28 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 7c | 16,295$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.32 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked BoomBoys | 65c | 15,096$9,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.66 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BoomBoys | 41c | 13,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,609.84 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Aurora | 59c | 12,712$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Aurora | 35c | 12,427$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Aurora | 37c | 10,500$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Aurora | 3c | 10,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Aurora | 40c | 5,000$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x568b…4727backed Aurora | 60c | 3,794$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Aurora | 37c | 3,198$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.26 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BoomBoys | 44c | 3,100$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.99 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Aurora | 58c | 3,079$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.86 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 3,009$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.32 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BoomBoys | 52c | 3,006$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.88 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,981$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.67 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Aurora | 59c | 2,892$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Aurora | 60c | 2,764$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 74cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6eafbacked BoomBoys | 75c | 2,668$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Aurora | 19c | 2,603$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.91 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Aurora | 58c | 2,501$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora | 56c | 2,355$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.17 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked BoomBoys | 40c | 2,341$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.6 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed BoomBoys | 65c | 2,215$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.25 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…c012backed Aurora | 33c | 2,175$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora | 27c | 2,041$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.19 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked BoomBoys | 42c | 2,031$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed BoomBoys | 67c | 2,025$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BoomBoys | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…d5eabacked Aurora | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked Aurora | 33c | 1,782$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BoomBoys | 42c | 1,771$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.24 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 32c | 1,749$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.54 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,659$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.22 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Aurora | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Aurora | 32c | 1,471$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Aurora | 34c | 1,426$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BoomBoys | 69c | 1,377$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.55 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Aurora | 12c | 1,300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,169$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.99 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BoomBoys | 51c | 1,067$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.41 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Aurora | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Aurora | 32c | 1,016$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed BoomBoys | 41c | 1,006$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.09 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Aurora | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Aurora | 59c | 935$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked BoomBoys | 41c | 899.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BoomBoys | 64c | 892.63$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…de32backed Aurora | 58c | 875$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657a…d1f4backed BoomBoys | 40c | 854.6$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Aurora | 60c | 838.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Aurora | 59c | 833.04$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Aurora | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed BoomBoys | 66c | 788.14$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed BoomBoys | 42c | 785.71$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…d1f2backed BoomBoys | 38c | 762.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.63 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked BoomBoys | 41c | 756.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked BoomBoys | 69c | 730$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed BoomBoys | 41c | 720$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee4…5efebacked Aurora | 31c | 700.53$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed BoomBoys | 41c | 690.36$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.31 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 59c | 645.43$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.8 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Aurora | 59c | 630.43$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked BoomBoys | 65c | 627.65$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.68 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…20ecbacked Aurora | 59c | 625.48$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Aurora | 59c | 624.85$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed BoomBoys | 41c | 601.76$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.04 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked BoomBoys | 67c | 584.41$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Aurora | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 47c | 554.39$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…dc64backed Aurora | 11c | 550$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -95.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Aurora | 64c | 547.8$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BoomBoys | 67c | 547.04$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.45 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed BoomBoys | 43c | 542$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked BoomBoys | 40c | 530.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.38 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Aurora | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Aurora | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Aurora | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Aurora | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed Aurora | 60c | 490.08$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…6b3abacked BoomBoys | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked BoomBoys | 46c | 477$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.75 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed BoomBoys | 42c | 470.15$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.7 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Aurora | 32c | 461.44$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed BoomBoys | 42c | 457.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.81 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Aurora | 49c | 450$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed BoomBoys | 46c | 449.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.69 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed BoomBoys | 66c | 441.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.42 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed Aurora | 27c | 431.43$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Aurora | 29c | 422.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.