Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5302e8310617ef07577fd9e9d6b7c924f3cc2a9849a5e1ce06bdc9d41f2d1842
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof Aurora, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,299,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,435,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,299,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed BoomBoys | 50c | 208,410$104,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,799.37 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 52c | 185,369$95,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,951.74 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 49c | 60,060$29,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,429.24 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed BoomBoys | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,799.98 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked Aurora | 62c | 38,383$23,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,886.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed BoomBoys | 44c | 34,906$15,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,547.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora | 26c | 34,181$8,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,951.6 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Aurora | 42c | 30,172$12,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,643.55 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed BoomBoys | 46c | 28,557$13,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,352.15 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Aurora | 52c | 27,481$14,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,412.23 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Aurora | 47c | 23,256$10,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,841.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed BoomBoys | 52c | 18,109$9,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,777.77 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Aurora | 48c | 17,487$8,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,364.83 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 12c | 15,644$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.42 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed BoomBoys | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Aurora | 2c | 14,400$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed BoomBoys | 49c | 14,180$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,229.5 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed BoomBoys | 51c | 14,000$7,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.66 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora | 53c | 13,000$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed BoomBoys | 50c | 11,823$5,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.21 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 52c | 11,821$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.21 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked BoomBoys | 50c | 11,521$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.59 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Aurora | 54c | 11,450$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Aurora | 49c | 10,028$4,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,876.03 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Aurora | 65c | 10,000$6,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,493.47 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked BoomBoys | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed BoomBoys | 47c | 9,695$4,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.12 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Aurora | 53c | 9,130$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.53 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Aurora | 53c | 8,882$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.31 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 8,647$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.62 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed BoomBoys | 53c | 8,341$4,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.8 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed BoomBoys | 53c | 8,000$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.12 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 37c | 7,783$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.68 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 7,756$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.14 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed BoomBoys | 51c | 7,636$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.09 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Aurora | 36c | 7,435$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650.6 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Aurora | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 16c | 6,648$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.92 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Aurora | 50c | 5,601$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.71 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed BoomBoys | 46c | 5,444$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.09 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Aurora | 27c | 5,432$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.89 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora | 48c | 5,429$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.84 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 49c | 5,105$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.75 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked BoomBoys | 73c | 5,065$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.86 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked BoomBoys | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Aurora | 50c | 4,900$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 51c | 4,891$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed BoomBoys | 56c | 4,801$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.27 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked BoomBoys | 51c | 4,725$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.55 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed BoomBoys | 44c | 4,592$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.86 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a06…52c2backed Aurora | 54c | 4,580$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…46e1backed BoomBoys | 45c | 4,557$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.04 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 3c | 4,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Aurora | 53c | 4,215$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.04 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked BoomBoys | 80c | 4,151$3,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.03 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed BoomBoys | 46c | 4,011$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.01 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Aurora | 25c | 4,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.37 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Aurora | 51c | 3,940$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora | 51c | 3,837$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.39 | 907 | 53.7%487 W · 420 L | +50.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed BoomBoys | 63c | 3,665$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.78 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 3,531$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.08 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 51c | 3,522$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Aurora | 12c | 3,500$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.86 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Aurora | 29c | 3,400$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.95 | 435 | 38.6%168 W · 267 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed BoomBoys | 50c | 3,383$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.62 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BoomBoys | 55c | 3,128$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.01 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe92…4215backed Aurora | 42c | 3,067$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked BoomBoys | 49c | 3,005$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.75 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed BoomBoys | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.99 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed BoomBoys | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Aurora | 52c | 2,954$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed BoomBoys | 54c | 2,796$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.12 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 2,787$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.13 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 53c | 2,700$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.85 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked BoomBoys | 56c | 2,691$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.22 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed BoomBoys | 64c | 2,659$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.51 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed BoomBoys | 46c | 2,632$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.12 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked BoomBoys | 52c | 2,575$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.83 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 4c | 2,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Aurora | 42c | 2,479$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.58 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,377$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.15 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed BoomBoys | 59c | 2,358$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.16 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Aurora | 2c | 2,348$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 20c | 2,291$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.96 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed BoomBoys | 78c | 2,273$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.82 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked BoomBoys | 51c | 2,265$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.62 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Aurora | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,116$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.67 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 57c | 2,107$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora | 48c | 2,056$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.88 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3feb…7dfbbacked Aurora | 35c | 2,050$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.15 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked BoomBoys | 54c | 2,045$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.83 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora | 30c | 2,029$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.78 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BoomBoys | 60c | 2,027$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.58 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Aurora | 66c | 2,000$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.24 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.