Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a86f59ea6f32be34804a0f015f9e823d65f364bf5b13f2968781b4319a900d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BoomBoysof Aurora, BoomBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,389,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,741,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,389,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 56c | 163,244$91,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed BoomBoys | 40c | 70,000$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,100.28 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 54c | 39,040$21,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,072.91 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BoomBoys | 48c | 37,650$18,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,393.13 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…6be8backed BoomBoys | 41c | 35,000$14,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,649.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9100…7adebacked Aurora | 66c | 23,075$15,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,344.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 35c | 22,893$7,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,953.02 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 21,739$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,739.13 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked BoomBoys | 45c | 18,727$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,387.54 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…3911backed BoomBoys | 49c | 17,640$8,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,021.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Aurora | 52c | 17,579$9,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,141.05 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Aurora | 64c | 15,584$9,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,940.2 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 15,124$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.51 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed BoomBoys | 65c | 15,067$9,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,214.94 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 57c | 14,581$8,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,268.58 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadea…b96dbacked Aurora | 2c | 14,400$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 11cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 53c | 12,926$6,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,850.66 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked BoomBoys | 57c | 12,119$6,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,228.75 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed BoomBoys | 45c | 11,410$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.64 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed BoomBoys | 46c | 10,977$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,943.05 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora | 57c | 10,490$6,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,024.06 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Aurora | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked BoomBoys | 47c | 9,080$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.73 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…9f96backed Aurora | 67c | 8,951$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.12 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BoomBoys | 42c | 8,566$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.48 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed BoomBoys | 46c | 8,409$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.55 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed BoomBoys | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.01 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 31c | 7,727$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.04 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 50c | 7,554$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.54 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 58c | 7,056$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,059.2 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked BoomBoys | 46c | 6,978$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.54 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed BoomBoys | 43c | 6,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.96 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed BoomBoys | 50c | 5,452$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.33 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 5,413$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.3 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked BoomBoys | 50c | 5,295$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.3 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed BoomBoys | 44c | 5,078$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.81 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed BoomBoys | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…6c3ebacked Aurora | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed BoomBoys | 45c | 4,843$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.11 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 4,833$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 51c | 4,800$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 4,660$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.7 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed BoomBoys | 41c | 4,463$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.59 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed BoomBoys | 58c | 4,417$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.38 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed BoomBoys | 40c | 4,400$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.2 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked BoomBoys | 63c | 4,209$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.17 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed Aurora | 53c | 4,134$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…81b5backed BoomBoys | 55c | 4,092$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.43 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked BoomBoys | 49c | 4,090$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.03 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Aurora | 1c | 3,951$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked BoomBoys | 46c | 3,885$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.35 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…8e36backed BoomBoys | 80c | 3,727$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.29 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed BoomBoys | 37c | 3,671$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.43 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 3,641$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.07 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 3,580$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.86 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Aurora | 59c | 3,446$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.17 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Aurora | 57c | 3,400$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.54 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed BoomBoys | 64c | 3,385$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.04 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Aurora | 52c | 3,225$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BoomBoys | 50c | 3,211$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.32 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed BoomBoys | 59c | 3,153$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.25 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BoomBoys | 55c | 2,989$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.37 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed BoomBoys | 67c | 2,894$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.3 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked BoomBoys | 48c | 2,868$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.48 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed BoomBoys | 37c | 2,856$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.04 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed BoomBoys | 48c | 2,782$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.01 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 2c | 2,656$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BoomBoys | 50c | 2,651$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.82 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed BoomBoys | 43c | 2,635$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.45 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed BoomBoys | 53c | 2,529$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.15 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked BoomBoys | 45c | 2,453$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.19 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed BoomBoys | 36c | 2,373$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.57 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 52c | 2,314$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.48 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked BoomBoys | 29c | 2,298$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.27 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…7f51backed Aurora | 50c | 2,294$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.21 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff1…2dd7backed Aurora | 54c | 2,250$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.99 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 49c | 2,247$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.13 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed BoomBoys | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Aurora | 51c | 2,150$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.48 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked BoomBoys | 45c | 2,090$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.43 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…f1c4backed BoomBoys | 46c | 2,086$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Aurora | 53c | 2,080$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed BoomBoys | 45c | 2,071$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.83 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked BoomBoys | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed BoomBoys | 21c | 2,000$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.42 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed BoomBoys | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 53c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.99 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked BoomBoys | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.84 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked BoomBoys | 48c | 1,930$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.25 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed BoomBoys | 51c | 1,898$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.67 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked BoomBoys | 70c | 1,889$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 52c | 1,862$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.07 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed BoomBoys | 46c | 1,828$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.1 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked BoomBoys | 70c | 1,806$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.26 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Aurora | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked BoomBoys | 53c | 1,750$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.44 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination RoundBoomBoys won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys - Game 2 WinnerBoomBoys won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)BoomBoys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.