TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $240 in October?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$900,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$904,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf705…3ca7backed No41c80,431$32,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,759.135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Yes37c25,014$9,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,234.32170%0 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9066…c20abacked No53c23,725$12,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,108.615561.9%96 W · 59 L+19.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77dc…7897backed Yes48c20,924$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00090%0 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c15,599$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.22290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed Yes18c10,521$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.41513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes20c10,451$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.867619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733c…d092backed Yes20c9,076$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No64c8,705$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.6424654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b8a…0d66backed Yes16c8,545$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes44c8,458$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.965034%17 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes1c8,021$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.372270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed No71c6,232$4,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.0832524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes14c5,700$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78518315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74e4…ec00backed Yes31c5,546$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c5,476$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.221,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed No14c5,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3004839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5117…d36fbacked Yes41c4,885$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00080%0 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes4c4,699$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.249022.2%20 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf737…37aabacked Yes21c4,451$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…04cebacked Yes27c4,431$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.39130%0 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef4f…78e0backed Yes7c4,310$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2482…9475backed Yes80c4,236$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a96…1c57backed Yes44c3,938$1,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,714.0860%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0141…c2dabacked Yes7c3,927$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2625123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Yes8c3,704$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8e…3023backed Yes6c3,697$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes14c3,568$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.686211.3%7 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No19c3,275$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.083284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+59.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3758619.8%17 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc87…2765backed Yes24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes10c2,390$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23918425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1352…4da4backed Yes11c2,320$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800140%0 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed No76c1,700$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4157652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes15c1,682$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.77244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No49c1,667$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.429126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc9d…f9febacked Yes2c1,616$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-53.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf11…cd6bbacked Yes18c1,594$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.121136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes13c1,565$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.951165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97513863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5515…451dbacked Yes34c1,460$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-81.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes14c1,450$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1117229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No30c1,363$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.0655032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes42c1,359$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.5119439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58813038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes8c1,195$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.576613.6%9 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd918…7cc5backed Yes46c1,181$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes47c1,100$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5191618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef96…54dfbacked Yes46c1,060$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48580%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ca…f509backed Yes50c1,050$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9823…40b9backed Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb022…0c4fbacked Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed No74c1,003$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2625156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44ec…df46backed Yes29c1,000$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x957e…5758backed Yes7c994.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.741010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-83.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked No74c983.77$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.785554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbea4…bf4dbacked Yes37c960$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21a1…2cf1backed No71c936.17$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.49887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaecf…a030backed Yes1c922.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26180%0 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No39c908.38$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.116053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f9f…6c07backed Yes8c901.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.190%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac06…e808backed No20c875.96$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.962429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+45.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85cf…51e8backed Yes3c871.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f78…ae4abacked Yes28c759.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.81040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe79e…55a2backed No73c719.96$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.96757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b17…f53bbacked Yes70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x685e…da4abacked Yes42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b53…708bbacked Yes6c700.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.27166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1440…7712backed Yes33c678$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4141…2771backed Yes47c639.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…50c7backed No40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375336.1%2 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-82.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc8…0f30backed Yes62c614.17$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.79911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ceb…8c29backed Yes3c613.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked Yes8c600$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x505d…7d62backed Yes6c580.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35439.3%4 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No33c567$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.893164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes46c545$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick42cpaid-85.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x362c…7d48backed Yes28c526.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes17c515.3$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.447328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb0…d484backed Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d79…f2d0backed Yes16c501.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.491233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29e6…0bd1backed No65c492.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+87%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xace5…4457backed Yes7c459.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f31…c075backed Yes3c453.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936d…5c15backed Yes6c435.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7270…d05bbacked No36c430$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes25c412.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105140%0 W · 14 L-5.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x854e…10b7backed Yes5c410$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.87812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick3cpaid+120.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa1…95a0backed Yes10c391.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f8c…d8fabacked Yes5c382.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4552…0333backed Yes28c379.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.943441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes11c377.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8125824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5d…be63backed Yes7c367.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…d09bbacked Yes33c358.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.