Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $185 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c776789a271a5f58195fc511d3de3ee39d1505e5e306d0ff553a3a40f01b11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 19c | 14,554$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,834.84 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 32c | 11,161$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,620.61 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa279…0371backed Yes | 48c | 9,114$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.29 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 80c | 6,246$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.9 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.8wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9066…c20abacked Yes | 39c | 4,314$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.99 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…62d0backed No | 65c | 2,058$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.8wins | -0.59per pick | 72cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…cec9backed Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +8.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 25c | 1,774$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked No | 67c | 1,506$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 63c | 1,388$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.34 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 68c | 1,105$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 57c | 1,036$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 27c | 749.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.68 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 75c | 710$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 21c | 407.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…ab4bbacked No | 72c | 218.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked No | 59c | 163.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…4a13backed No | 77c | 157.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…31d0backed No | 77c | 151.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…b6fdbacked No | 78c | 149.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fa…0446backed No | 77c | 140.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…4578backed No | 77c | 140.39$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…655dbacked No | 77c | 137.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…c3b1backed No | 77c | 136.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…8ba4backed No | 73c | 121.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…4681backed No | 79c | 111.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…77b5backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…a904backed No | 79c | 97.62$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Yes | 26c | 94.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e3…480cbacked No | 78c | 89.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…5f8fbacked No | 74c | 89.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…8cefbacked No | 76c | 88.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…9c5fbacked No | 78c | 81.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df9…b7f3backed No | 76c | 74.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…2b18backed No | 76c | 73.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…0224backed No | 74c | 72.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982f…f964backed No | 78c | 63.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…99adbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1556…7694backed No | 77c | 61.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…18a5backed No | 77c | 58.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f9…0c4ebacked No | 76c | 56.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935a…71e7backed No | 79c | 55.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…1960backed No | 76c | 46.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…8b69backed No | 79c | 44.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…791bbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…126ebacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…4f49backed No | 75c | 32.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…ee7cbacked No | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 50c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…ec91backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…3389backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $185 in October?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $195 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $200 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.