Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $300 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6f110e206e2d525daff151e3558385803a199be45e96c43e7cdda0068e27ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $611,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 11c | 22,755$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.77 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 15,781$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.3 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes | 15c | 15,000$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 11c | 10,292$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.83 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 1c | 10,014$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 0c | 10,013$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…7acbbacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…531ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 9,999$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…1b5bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,055$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1a…d733backed Yes | 10c | 7,400$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 4c | 6,887$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 6c | 6,388$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.58 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 13c | 6,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 8c | 5,541$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.45 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…82debacked Yes | 9c | 3,893$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 4c | 3,299$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,908$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…a8b6backed Yes | 19c | 2,672$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…3e80backed Yes | 8c | 2,492$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 6c | 2,338$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,309$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe5…30afbacked Yes | 6c | 1,959$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 19c | 1,275$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 10c | 1,209$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…4832backed Yes | 18c | 1,114$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…dafabacked Yes | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…f1a8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…a4d7backed Yes | 3c | 864.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d7…7e51backed Yes | 7c | 730.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…3f69backed Yes | 7c | 680.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…bcecbacked Yes | 20c | 653.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…f31fbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 11c | 533.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…e105backed Yes | 19c | 518.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d3…986abacked Yes | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 8c | 451.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 8c | 406.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…9f41backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked Yes | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes | 14c | 348.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…ed98backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…8059backed Yes | 11c | 271.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 8c | 263.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…d000backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c3…7f5cbacked Yes | 7c | 235.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…1a59backed Yes | 12c | 232$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493d…538cbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3a…8800backed Yes | 7c | 213.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…08f7backed Yes | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…ecccbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…ecfabacked Yes | 11c | 183.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…0fb6backed Yes | 20c | 171.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c0…a6e5backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…f598backed Yes | 6c | 161.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…2761backed Yes | 9c | 128.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…445dbacked Yes | 19c | 127.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2f…f46bbacked Yes | 10c | 114$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…f800backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…9982backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdc…89a6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…d2a1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…929bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…f5cbbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…92a5backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…96a6backed Yes | 14c | 78.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…2b74backed Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $300 in October?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $195 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $200 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.