TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e6d…ed98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics backed PRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$591.92
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+94.1%+$42.37
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$15.4
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$118
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+158.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+221.6%+$44.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+525%+$252
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $300 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$113.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.