AI · resolved market
OpenAI social app in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fa442c61e156bf8e70c50cd1598419e7966e8a25d6aa8021d55d839b5e1f031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $404,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8740…490dbacked Yes | 51c | 44,506$22,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,976.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…e6e6backed Yes | 53c | 37,082$19,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,527.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…4d79backed Yes | 39c | 28,423$11,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,338.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bf…89b3backed No | 61c | 28,423$17,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,338.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 45c | 19,969$8,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,001.5 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 50c | 16,226$8,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,095.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 1c | 14,959$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…ae61backed Yes | 67c | 14,021$9,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 3c | 11,892$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.87 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 14c | 10,872$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.22 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…a569backed No | 20c | 9,400$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…fc03backed Yes | 48c | 9,167$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…f4e3backed Yes | 73c | 6,275$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.38 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 47c | 6,134$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.77 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 47c | 6,035$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7868…5fc0backed Yes | 60c | 5,833$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 56c | 5,491$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.47 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 44c | 5,143$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.89 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…8783backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…5263backed Yes | 51c | 4,558$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 40c | 4,482$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.66 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 31c | 4,436$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.85 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 57c | 4,200$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked No | 28c | 4,006$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.98 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…99c7backed Yes | 69c | 3,883$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 50c | 3,693$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 47c | 3,560$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.02 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed No | 50c | 3,289$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 35c | 3,205$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…f200backed No | 48c | 3,100$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bb97backed No | 8c | 2,800$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 48c | 2,675$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.81 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,627$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 46c | 2,595$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.88 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed No | 61c | 2,423$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed Yes | 56c | 2,417$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9d…ec2cbacked No | 55c | 2,318$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…0bb9backed No | 59c | 2,259$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 59c | 2,212$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.59 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…0845backed Yes | 70c | 2,128$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…2f4ebacked No | 31c | 2,120$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 18c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…a435backed No | 68c | 1,926$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 1,890$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.67 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…4a57backed No | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…a51abacked No | 10c | 1,785$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +90%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 1,779$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.5 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 22c | 1,723$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.09 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…f3cabacked No | 30c | 1,677$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…398cbacked No | 65c | 1,662$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 1,522$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.44 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…0659backed No | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…e921backed No | 49c | 1,449$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…8bdabacked No | 52c | 1,353$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked No | 13c | 1,326$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed No | 56c | 1,307$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.56 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed No | 46c | 1,291$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…d05ebacked No | 21c | 1,261$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed No | 43c | 1,251$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.62 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 46c | 1,248$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.97 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…9c46backed No | 61c | 1,220$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 70c | 1,210$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 59c | 1,122$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…d3fbbacked No | 46c | 1,094$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c0…b490backed No | 4c | 1,088$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 51c | 1,046$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…eeb2backed No | 47c | 1,010$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.42 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0442…1561backed No | 54c | 1,006$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ca…be17backed No | 56c | 978.35$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 57c | 969$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.88 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 51c | 953.5$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 27c | 932.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c42…f01cbacked No | 42c | 928.68$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed Yes | 36c | 923.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…bdd4backed No | 27c | 878.65$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…8e58backed No | 45c | 866.76$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…5bc1backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e23…5411backed Yes | 58c | 852.29$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…2609backed Yes | 64c | 851.84$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…b3f8backed Yes | 46c | 843$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed Yes | 68c | 817.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924a…8af5backed No | 52c | 813.47$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326a…c3dabacked No | 42c | 812.37$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 24c | 799.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1b…e450backed Yes | 63c | 793.67$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…9032backed No | 52c | 752.14$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 19c | 751$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 43c | 750$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…0e84backed No | 7c | 730$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…1282backed No | 62c | 727.04$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…e3f1backed No | 51c | 709.12$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…a680backed No | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357f…aee2backed No | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed No | 53c | 696.69$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed No | 15c | 676.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed No | 15c | 657.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 2c | 650$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 40c | 634.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1739…1263backed No | 43c | 626.45$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.