Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8564b89abea8dd03a1b41e33100e942d811bbb5f1d85873ffe9e80d59666f70a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $855,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $884,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed Yes | 53c | 360,539$190,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,628.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 48c | 181,849$86,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,967.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked No | 39c | 160,927$63,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,164.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 151,535$67,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,325.19 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 63c | 80,032$50,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,861.2 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 60c | 46,000$27,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,280 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 61c | 34,044$20,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,317.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 61c | 21,976$13,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,590.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 61c | 14,016$8,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.45 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 12,800$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 60c | 10,783$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366.41 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 48c | 10,081$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.63 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 35c | 9,221$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 67c | 7,510$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…a8b7backed Yes | 65c | 6,150$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 61c | 5,410$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…b832backed Yes | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 62c | 3,943$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.47 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 35c | 3,159$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.19 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…18cdbacked Yes | 67c | 3,147$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 61c | 2,972$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.49 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 58c | 2,936$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 60c | 2,900$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 2,654$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.51 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 61c | 2,620$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed No | 46c | 2,579$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 40c | 2,274$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 3c | 2,221$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 2,043$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.8 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Yes | 60c | 1,676$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9342…6e58backed Yes | 63c | 1,589$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 35c | 1,381$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.14 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 32c | 1,333$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.93 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 65c | 1,302$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.54 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 58c | 1,250$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.21 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 1,245$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 28c | 1,225$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed No | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 66c | 1,132$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Yes | 65c | 1,036$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 71c | 1,009$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed No | 33c | 872.43$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 67c | 824.22$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.22 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 774.68$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 34c | 773.05$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.72 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 38c | 691.5$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.77 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 54c | 630$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 65c | 550$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 62c | 546.19$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 63c | 541.49$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes | 61c | 529.72$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Yes | 55c | 476.44$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 61c | 469.69$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 34c | 416.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 37c | 401.03$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.38 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001b…1bd7backed Yes | 31c | 372.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 23c | 360$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 63c | 350$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 36c | 328$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 315.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.37 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…4397backed Yes | 65c | 276.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 276.53$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.86 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b6…6717backed Yes | 67c | 267.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Yes | 62c | 260.01$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.71 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 63c | 254.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 60c | 238.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 69c | 233.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked Yes | 61c | 229.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 61c | 224.05$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes | 61c | 218.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yes | 62c | 207.19$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed Yes | 66c | 203.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?this page
- Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-10-02?No won
- Will FC Porto vs. Crvena Zvezda end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.