TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rex

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fnaticof Fnatic, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$543,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9cf…2b62backed Paper Rex60c91,228$54,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,736.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5f…159cbacked Paper Rex61c74,569$45,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,487.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Fnatic40c65,000$26,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,983.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fnatic40c62,903$25,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,759.811560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Fnatic39c58,987$23,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,982.174100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Fnatic40c35,800$14,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,6381050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Fnatic40c34,015$13,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,408.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Paper Rex63c25,408$15,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,991.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Paper Rex60c23,411$14,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,046.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Paper Rex58c18,565$10,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,677.322055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Paper Rex60c14,310$8,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,571.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Paper Rex72c11,786$8,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,487.0513558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Paper Rex60c11,111$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.633942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Paper Rex60c11,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,600475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Fnatic41c7,381$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,380.661369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Paper Rex60c5,720$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.4510756.1%60 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Paper Rex60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Fnatic34c5,000$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.3312835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fnatic41c3,700$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,18328541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3f…4b40backed Paper Rex61c2,614$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Fnatic32c2,445$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.933148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Paper Rex72c2,350$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Paper Rex73c2,062$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.92934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Paper Rex60c1,743$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.9819655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Paper Rex72c1,500$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Paper Rex60c1,443$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.81323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paper Rex72c1,393$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004050%20 W · 20 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Paper Rex72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Paper Rex66c1,347$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Paper Rex60c1,111$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.65825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Fnatic26c1,006$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3217332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Paper Rex62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Fnatic41c1,000$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6d…ed98backed Paper Rex61c965.51$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.921457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7548…f53cbacked Paper Rex69c820.39$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Fnatic60c813.31$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.24757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Fnatic41c739.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.52850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Paper Rex60c694.8$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.889644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex61c619.05$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6222955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked Paper Rex65c609$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4da…3e14backed Fnatic18c603.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.79742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Paper Rex60c600$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Paper Rex60c573$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.85244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fnatic55c555.59$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.883046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Paper Rex61c529.51$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3231250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Paper Rex72c527.59$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.7212948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2353…45eabacked Fnatic19c526$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.061533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Paper Rex60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Paper Rex60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Fnatic59c488.93$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.894353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic17c403.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.2424732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf725…0c06backed Paper Rex61c382.93$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2f…88dbbacked Fnatic41c373.59$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…1e6ebacked Fnatic41c357.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc057…14fabacked Paper Rex60c354.35$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5add…f36fbacked Paper Rex60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Paper Rex60c333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Paper Rex60c276.67$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Fnatic37c268.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Paper Rex62c258.06$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604560%27 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c86…4a0abacked Fnatic41c251.49$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Paper Rex60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe842…17cebacked Paper Rex60c249.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5082…0159backed Paper Rex60c248.58$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…f084backed Fnatic41c247.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde87…5282backed Paper Rex60c245.73$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff3…c438backed Fnatic41c245.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…62a7backed Fnatic41c245$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d0…842dbacked Paper Rex60c241.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5740…4179backed Fnatic41c240.39$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Paper Rex61c240.34$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ddd…5edfbacked Paper Rex61c238.74$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbbd…a363backed Fnatic41c238.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1449…c94dbacked Paper Rex60c238.38$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec43…a48abacked Fnatic41c235.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…9e66backed Paper Rex60c234.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9995…6c06backed Paper Rex60c233.62$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa71b…889cbacked Fnatic41c232.9$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2c…9f96backed Fnatic41c231.95$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Fnatic14c230.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.941346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Fnatic39c212.66$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c22…9717backed Fnatic18c176.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f13…3a2dbacked Paper Rex60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Fnatic36c148.93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+52.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Paper Rex60c135$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex66c130$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72a…4121backed Paper Rex41c122.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e8…f34cbacked Fnatic16c121.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Fnatic41c106$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5433753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ae…84cebacked Paper Rex66c102.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.94450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe041…232dbacked Fnatic39c102$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd132…cafcbacked Fnatic32c100.64$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.641533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Fnatic38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Fnatic30c99.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9925347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Paper Rex61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Paper Rex61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Paper Rex60c81.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked Paper Rex60c81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…a6a3backed Paper Rex62c75.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Fnatic43c75.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.