TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa71b…889c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.22
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.74
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$49.01
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$52.52
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.87
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.33
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$51.33
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.17
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$42.59
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$66.97
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$113.77
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$81.68
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$101.46
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$71.41
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33.59
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$46.64
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$68.16
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$143.07
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$90.19
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$59.37
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$122.7
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+85.2%+$215.07
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$363.25
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$385.56
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.79
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.77
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$82.21
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.57
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$60.63
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.53
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.2
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$84.01
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.51
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.89
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.34
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70.06
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.6
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.01
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$66.53
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$107.93
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$75.68
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$79.49
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$99.04
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$210.43
Sharks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$252.43
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.71
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$270.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$137.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$132.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$224.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$72.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$96.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Canelo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.